Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 24

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Weserstadion (Bremen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 5
Argentina	11:30	Disney+
Australia	01:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Bulgaria	16:30	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
China	22:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Georgia	18:30	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports 2
Hong Kong	22:30	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	14:30	Viaplay
India	20:00	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	21:30	K-Vision
Japan	23:30	DAZN Japan
Laos	21:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	08:30	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	15:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	19:30	Tapmad
Peru	09:30	Disney+
Philippines	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	14:30	DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	17:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	17:30	MBC Shahid
Singapore	22:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
South Korea	23:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Sport 2
Turkey	17:30	S Sport+
Uruguay	11:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	10:30	Disney+
Vietnam	21:30	TV 360
International	14:30	Onefootball


	Werder Bremen		Heidenheim

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.33	5.25	Watch
	1.82	3.8	4
	1.6	4.15	5.4	Watch
	1.64	4.4	5.44
	1.62	4.37	4.94	Watch
	1.6	4	4.8
	1.63	4.4	5.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.76)	4.21 ↑ (3.99)	5.02 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Werder Bremen
58.2%

Draw
22.7%

Heidenheim
19.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54%

23.8%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

23.5%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.8%	12.1%	9.1%

Werder Bremen - Heidenheim Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.5 - Heidenheim (4.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Werder Bremen will win (26 of 33 users predict this - 78.79%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.84% – 92.74%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Werder Bremen will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Werder (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Heidenheim (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Backhaus M. (G) 14. Lynen S. 4. Stark N. 32. Friedl M. (C) 3. Sugawara Y. 6. Stage J. 18. Puertas C. 2. Deman O. 17. Grull M. 20. Schmid R. 19. Milosevic J.	40. Feller F. (G) 6. Mainka P. (C) 5. Gimber B. 3. Schoppner J. 23. Traore O. H. 30. Dorsch N. 16. Niehues J. 26. Behrens H. 8. Dinkci E. 10. Conteh C. 22. Ibrahimovic A.
Substitutes
10. Bittencourt L. 24. Covic P. 13. Hein K. (G) 22. Malatini J. 29. Musah S. 11. Njinmah J. 33. Schmetgens M. 23. Schmidt I. 9. Topp K.	21. Beck A. 31. Conteh S. 17. Honsak M. 20. Kerber L. 18. Pieringer M. 9. Schimmer S. 4. Siersleben T. 25. Stergiou L. 34. Tschernuth P. (G)
Coaches
Thioune D.	Schmidt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Niehues J. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
46', Traore O. H. ↓, Stergiou L. ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Milosevic J. ⚽, Schmid R. (A),
65', Dinkci E. ↓, Pieringer M. ↑,
65', Schoppner J. ↓, Beck A. ↑,
69', Milosevic J. ↓, Topp K. ↑,
72', Deman O. 🟨,
74', Gimber B. ↓, Honsak M. ↑,
80', Grull M. ↓, Njinmah J. ↑,
89', Stage J. ↓, Malatini J. ↑,
89', Schmid R. ↓, Bittencourt L. ↑,
90+7', 2 - 0, Behrens H. (Own goal),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder won 1.

Neither of the teams could find their winning rhythm in recent games.

In this match, Werder is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Werder: Adeh W. (Knee Injury) Agu F. (Muscle Injury) Boniface V. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly K. (Thigh Injury) Mbangula S. (Hamstring Injury) Pieper A. (Knee Injury) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Heidenheim: Busch M. (Illness) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury) Ramaj D. (Illness)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Werder won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 2.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Werder won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Werder Bremen	7	3	3	1	15:14	1	12

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Werder Bremen: 0.45%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga
22.02.26	St. Pauli - Werder Bremen	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Werder Bremen - Bayern Munich	0:3 ✺
07.02.26	Freiburg - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Werder Bremen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German Bundesliga
22.02.26	Heidenheim - Stuttgart	3:3 ✺
15.02.26	Augsburg - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Heidenheim - Hamburger SV	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Borussia Dortmund - Heidenheim	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	Heidenheim - RB Leipzig	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
18.10.25	Heidenheim - Werder Bremen	2:2
17.05.25	Heidenheim - Werder Bremen	1:4
15.01.25	Werder Bremen - Heidenheim	3:3
10.02.24	Werder Bremen - Heidenheim	1:2
17.09.23	Heidenheim - Werder Bremen	4:2
German 2 Bundesliga
12.03.22	Heidenheim - Werder Bremen	2:1
01.10.21	Werder Bremen - Heidenheim	3:0

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