Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 7

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Max-Morlock-Stadion (Nuremberg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Erbst L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	20:30	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	15:30	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Armenia	22:30	Fast Sports
Australia	05:30	beIN Connect
Austria	20:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:30	Arena Sport 4P, Arena Sport 5P
Bulgaria	21:30	Nova Sport
Canada	14:30	DAZN Canada
Chile	15:30	Disney+
Colombia	13:30	Disney+
Croatia	20:30	SportKlub 2
Czech Republic	20:30	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	20:30	Viaplay
Finland	21:30	Viaplay
France	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, beIN Sports MAX 6
Germany	20:30	RTL Nitro, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports 4
Hong Kong	02:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	20:30	Match 4
Iceland	18:30	Viaplay
Israel	21:30	Sport 3
Italy	20:30	Sky Sport Max
Malaysia	02:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	20:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Netherlands	20:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	07:30	beIN Connect
Norway	20:30	Viaplay
Peru	13:30	Disney+
Philippines	02:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	19:30	DAZN / App
Romania	21:30	Prima Sport PPV 2
Saudi Arabia	21:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	20:30	Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	02:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	20:30	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Slovenia	20:30	Sport TV3
Spain	20:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event
Uruguay	15:30	Disney+
Venezuela	14:30	Disney+
International	18:30	OneFootball TV


	Nürnberg		Wolfsburg

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.70	2.60	Watch
	2.37	3.75	2.70
	2.48	3.85	2.48	Watch
	2.51	3.85	2.75
	2.41	3.84	2.65	Watch
	2.45	3.75	2.70
	2.53	3.80	2.54	Watch
	2.34	3.80	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.51)	3.79 ↓ (3.81)	2.63 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nürnberg
39%

Draw
25%

Wolfsburg
36%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

24.8%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

24.5%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Nürnberg - Wolfsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nürnberg: 4% – 71%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Nürnberg (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nürnberg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reichert J. (C) 32. Janisch T. 4. Kalogeropoulos A. 20. Otto F. 41. Porstner E. 6. Markhiev A. 8. Fernandez J. 10. Justvan J. 7. Ghrieb R. 23. Zoma M. A. 19. Scobel P.	30. Zielinski J. (G) 2. Fischer K. 6. Wahl H. (C) 22. Angely M. 21. Maehle J. 31. Gerhardt Y. 5. Vini Souza 20. Damar M. 17. Bernhardsson A. 19. Glatzel R. 11. Reese F.
Substitutes
11. Boving W. 14. Ceresoli A. 44. El Haija K. 9. Haugen S. 35. Kornwachs Barjuan M. 13. Lisewski R. (G) 18. Lubach R. 21. Masouras G. 28. Moustfa C. Y.	18. Adjetey J. 27. Arnold M. 23. Besio A. 8. Dardai B. 46. Pernis D. (G) 12. Pervan P. (G) 37. Rexhbecaj E. 7. Shiogai K. 25. Zehnter A.
Coaches
Klose M.	Strobl T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Wahl H. ⚽,
20', Zoma M. A. 🟨,
29', 0 - 2, Damar M. ⚽, Vini Souza (A),
2nd Half (4 - 2)
52', 1 - 2, Scobel P. ⚽, Fernandez J. (A),
59', 2 - 2, Scobel P. ⚽, Ghrieb R. (A),
62', Gerhardt Y. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
62', Wahl H. 🟨,
62', Janisch T. ↓, Masouras G. ↑,
62', Ghrieb R. ↓, Lubach R. ↑,
63', 3 - 2, Zoma M. A. ⚽, Porstner E. (A),
75', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Besio A. ↑,
75', Reese F. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
76', Angely M. 🟨,
79', Vini Souza ↓, Arnold M. ↑,
81', Justvan J. ↓, Boving W. ↑,
81', Porstner E. ↓, Ceresoli A. ↑,
85', Masouras G. 🟨,
87', Shiogai K. 🟨,
88', Kalogeropoulos A. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 3, Besio A. ⚽,
90+6', 4 - 3, Masouras G. ⚽, Markhiev A. (A),
90+9', 4 - 4, Besio A. ⚽,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Bundesliga and 5th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 0.

Nürnberg arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Wolfsburg is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Wolfsburg: Benedict T. (Injury) Rexhbecaj E. (Leg Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Wellenreuther T. (Knee Injury).

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Nürnberg has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:16 (averaging 0.8:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nürnberg against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 3:8 goals (averaging 0.6:1.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Nurnberg	9	5	3	1	21:12	9	18
4	Wolfsburg	9	4	4	1	23:14	9	16

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Wolfsburg: 28.05% Nurnberg: 8.04%

Last Results with these Odds

Nürnberg - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.61%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Wolfsburg - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.61%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Nürnberg
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Nürnberg - Ingolstadt	3:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
19.09.26	Karlsruher - Nürnberg	0:1 ✺
11.09.26	Nürnberg - Hannover	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Holstein Kiel - Nürnberg	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Nürnberg - Arminia Bielefeld	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWTW
- VfL Wolfsburg
Club Friendly
01.10.26	Wolfsburg - TSV Havelse	4:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
18.09.26	Wolfsburg - Darmstadt	5:1 ✺
12.09.26	St. Pauli - Wolfsburg	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Wolfsburg - Energie Cottbus	4:4 ✺
29.08.26	Karlsruher - Wolfsburg	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
04.05.19	Wolfsburg - Nürnberg	2:0
14.12.18	Nürnberg - Wolfsburg	0:2
German DFB Pokal
19.12.17	Nürnberg - Wolfsburg	0:2 ET
German Bundesliga
12.04.14	Wolfsburg - Nürnberg	4:1
23.11.13	Nürnberg - Wolfsburg	1:1
31.03.13	Wolfsburg - Nürnberg	2:2
03.11.12	Nürnberg - Wolfsburg	1:0

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