Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 28

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Goffertstadion (Nijmegen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	08:15	Disney+
Brazil	08:15	Disney+
Canada	07:15	Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
Croatia	12:15	SportKlub 6
Germany	12:15	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong Kong	19:15	myTV SUPER
India	16:45	Eurosport
Israel	13:15	Sport 4
Kenya	14:15	Gotv
Mexico	05:15	Disney+
Netherlands	12:15	Canal+, ESPN 3
Nigeria	12:15	SupeSport ESPN 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	06:15	Disney+
Slovakia	12:15	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	12:15	Sport TV3
South Africa	13:15	SupeSport ESPN
Switzerland	12:15	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	14:15	Tivibu Spor 4
Uruguay	08:15	Disney+
Usa	07:15	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	07:15	Disney+
International	11:15	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	NEC Nijmegen		Heerenveen

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.5	4.5	Watch
	1.68	4.4	4.2
	1.65	4.4	4.65
	1.67	4.65	4.63
	1.68	4.56	4.19	Watch
	1.62	4.2	4.2
	1.7	4.64	4.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.84)	4.48 ↑ (3.88)	4.4 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NEC Nijmegen
57.2%

Draw
21.2%

Heerenveen
21.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

23.7%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

24.6%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NEC Nijmegen's performance.

Heerenveen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NEC Nijmegen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	23.5%	29.4%

NEC Nijmegen - Heerenveen Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Heerenveen will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Cillessen J. (G) 3. Sandler P. 4. Kaplan A. 15. Willems J. 25. Ouaissa S. 6. Nejasmic D. 23. Sano K. 11. Onal B. 10. Chery T. (C) 20. Lebreton N. 30. Linssen B.	22. Klaverboer B. (G) 15. Egbring M. 4. Kersten S. 3. Willemsen M. 19. Zagaritis V. 16. Linday M. 6. van Overeem J. (C) 20. Trenskow J. 10. Meerveld R. 9. Vente D. 18. Nordas L.
Substitutes
9. Danilo Pereira 14. Dasa E. 34. El Kachati Y. 24. Fonville D. 8. Hansen-Aaroen I. 31. Janse R. (G) 7. Misidjan V. 17. Nuytinck B. 18. Ogawa K. 5. Ouwejan T. 71. Proper D. 19. Willumsson W. T.	35. Ahmed I. 31. Bakker N. (G) 8. Brouwers L. 36. Courtens N. 50. Gurbuz E. 17. Hopland N. 38. Mulder I. 44. Noppert A. (G) 11. Oyen L. 28. Petrov H.
Coaches
Schreuder D.	Veldman R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', Cillessen J. ↓, Janse R. ↑,
19', 1 - 0, Chery T. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Trenskow J. ⚽, Zagaritis V. (A),
45', 1 - 2, Meerveld R. ⚽, van Overeem J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 2 - 2, Chery T. ⚽, Sano K. (A),
63', Willems J. ↓, Fonville D. ↑,
63', Linssen B. ↓, El Kachati Y. ↑,
66', Linday M. ↓, Brouwers L. ↑,
77', Willemsen M. ↓, Hopland N. ↑,
77', Vente D. ↓, Courtens N. ↑,
77', Kersten S. ↓, Petrov H. ↑,
88', Lebreton N. ↓, Ogawa K. ↑,
89', Meerveld R. ↓, Oyen L. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Nijmegen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nijmegen is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Nijmegen: Crettaz G. (Inactive) Danilo Pereira (Inactive) Entius F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Heerenveen: Braude O. (Yellow Cards) Rivera M. (Yellow Cards) Smans L. (Knee Injury) van Axel Dongen A. (Illness)

There are questionable in Nijmegen: Dasa E. (Inactive) Ouaissa S. (Injury) Pereira B. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.9:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Heerenveen	10	4	3	3	18:13	5	15
12	Nijmegen	10	2	5	3	17:18	-1	11

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Heerenveen: 0.24% Nijmegen: 0.17%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie
14.03.26	PSV Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen	2:3 ✺
08.03.26	NEC Nijmegen - Volendam	3:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
03.03.26	NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven	3:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
28.02.26	NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard	2:3 ✺
21.02.26	Ajax - NEC Nijmegen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WWWLT
- SC Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie
14.03.26	Heerenveen - Telstar	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Excelsior - Heerenveen	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Heerenveen - Sparta Rotterdam	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Heerenveen - Zwolle	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
21.09.25	Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen	3:2
27.04.25	Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen	1:0
19.10.24	NEC Nijmegen - Heerenveen	3:0
10.03.24	NEC Nijmegen - Heerenveen	2:0
07.10.23	Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen	1:1
06.05.23	NEC Nijmegen - Heerenveen	2:3
04.09.22	Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen	0:0

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