Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 25

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Abe Lenstra Stadion (Heerenveen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Vos M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Netherlands	16:30	Canal+, ESPN
United Arab Emirates	19:30	Dubai Sports 2


	Heerenveen		Sparta Rotterdam

	1	X	2
	2	3.8	3.4	Watch
	1.98	3.8	3.4
	1.98	3.8	3.55
	2.04	3.91	3.61
	2.06	3.85	3.25	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.3
	2.05	3.9	3.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.95)	3.79 ↑ (3.55)	3.43 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heerenveen
47.3%

Draw
25%

Sparta Rotterdam
27.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.1%

25.9%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

26.1%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	27.3%	9.1%

Heerenveen - Sparta Rotterdam Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Heerenveen will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heerenveen: 35.2% – 92%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Sparta Rotterdam (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Heerenveen will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 3 - 75%). Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Klaverboer B. (G) 45. Braude O. 3. Willemsen M. 28. Petrov H. 19. Zagaritis V. 16. Linday M. 10. Meerveld R. 6. van Overeem J. (C) 20. Trenskow J. 18. Nordas L. 7. Rivera M.	1. Drommel J. (G) 2. Sambo S. 3. Young M. 4. Martins Indi B. (C) 5. Quintero T. 6. Clement P. 10. Santos A. 8. Kitolano J. 7. van Bergen M. 9. Lauritsen T. 11. Mito S.
Substitutes
31. Bakker N. (G) 8. Brouwers L. 36. Courtens N. 15. Egbring M. 50. Gurbuz E. 17. Hopland N. 38. Mulder I. 44. Noppert A. (G) 11. Oyen L. 9. Vente D.	22. Baas J. 12. Bakari S. 20. Bednarek F. (G) 18. de Guzman J. 13. de Ligt M. 15. Kleijn M. 23. Kuiper P. (G) 16. Roaldsoy A. 17. Terho C. 21. Toornstra J. 14. van Aanholt P. 19. Zonneveld M.
Coaches
Veldman R.	Steijn M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Linday M. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Trenskow J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', Santos A. ↓, Terho C. ↑,
72', Quintero T. 🟨,
74', Braude O. 🟨,
75', Sambo S. ↓, Toornstra J. ↑,
75', Mito S. ↓, Zonneveld M. ↑,
77', Nordas L. ↓, Vente D. ↑,
77', Linday M. ↓, Brouwers L. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Brouwers L. ⚽,
86', 2 - 1, van Bergen M. ⚽, Clement P. (A),
89', Young M. 🟨,
90', Meerveld R. ↓, Hopland N. ↑,
90+4', Klaverboer B. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Heerenveen has had a series of away games.

Heerenveen will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Heerenveen: Hopland N. (Inactive) Smans L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: van Crooij V. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Heerenveen won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Heerenveen	10	4	3	3	18:13	5	15
14	Sparta Rotterdam	10	2	3	5	17:24	-7	9

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Heerenveen: 0.24% Sparta Rotterdam: 0.14%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie
21.02.26	PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Heerenveen - Zwolle	4:2 ✺
11.02.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Heerenveen	1:3 ✺
07.02.26	Twente - Heerenveen	5:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
04.02.26	PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLL
- Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
22.02.26	AZ Alkmaar - Sparta Rotterdam	3:1 ✺
17.02.26	Sparta Rotterdam - NEC Nijmegen	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Fortuna Sittard - Sparta Rotterdam	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Utrecht - Sparta Rotterdam	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
14.12.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Heerenveen	0:3
12.04.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Heerenveen	3:1
26.10.24	Heerenveen - Sparta Rotterdam	2:0
19.05.24	Sparta Rotterdam - Heerenveen	2:1
27.08.23	Heerenveen - Sparta Rotterdam	1:3
15.04.23	Sparta Rotterdam - Heerenveen	4:0
05.08.22	Heerenveen - Sparta Rotterdam	0:0

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