The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Excelsior 33%
Draw 25.4%
Heerenveen 41.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.4%
26.8%
40.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.9%
25.5%
42.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.3%
0%
91.7%
Excelsior - Heerenveen Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Heerenveen will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Heerenveen: 76.1% โ 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Heerenveen will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. van Gassel S. (G) 2. Bronkhorst I. 4. Widell C. (C) 3. Meissen R. 15. Janssen S. 23. Yegoian I. 14. Schouten L. 20. Hartjes L. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 10. Naujoks N. 11. de Regt G.
22. Klaverboer B. (G) 45. Braude O. 3. Willemsen M. 4. Kersten S. 19. Zagaritis V. 8. Brouwers L. (C) 6. van Overeem J. 20. Trenskow J. 10. Meerveld R. 7. Rivera M. 18. Nordas L.
Substitutes
33. Bergraaf J. 24. Cairo G. 6. Carlen A. 40. Holla T. (G) 26. Jonathans M. 8. Tielemans M. 29. van Duinen M. 9. Wlodarczyk S.
35. Ahmed I. 31. Bakker N. (G) 36. Courtens N. 15. Egbring M. 50. Gurbuz E. 17. Hopland N. 38. Mulder I. 44. Noppert A. (G) 11. Oyen L. 28. Petrov H. 9. Vente D.
Coaches
den Uil R.
Veldman R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Brouwers L. ⚽, Nordas L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', Nordas L. ↓, Vente D. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, van Overeem J. ⚽,
72', Janssen S. ↓, Jonathans M. ↑,
72', Hartjes L. ↓, Bergraaf J. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Naujoks N. (Penalty Awarded),
75', Zagaritis V. ↓, Petrov H. ↑,
78', Petrov H. 🟨,
81', Jonathans M. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
86', Trenskow J. ↓, Hopland N. ↑,
89', Naujoks N. 🟨,
90', Yegoian I. ↓, Wlodarczyk S. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 2.
Recent form of Excelsior has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Heerenveen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Excelsior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Excelsior: Hansson E.
(Thigh Injury)
Nadje C.
(Inactive)
Raatsie C.
(Shoulder Injury)
Zagre A.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Heerenveen: Smans L.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 2:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Heerenveen
10
4
3
3
18:13
5
15
13
Excelsior
10
3
2
5
16:19
-3
11
Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now
Heerenveen: 0.24% Excelsior: 0.17%
Last Results with these Odds
Heerenveen - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.76%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.