Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 27

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Philips Stadion (Eindhoven)

Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1, SupeSport ESPN 2
Argentina	Disney+
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1, SupeSport ESPN 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	TV Start
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Slovakia	Arena sport 1, Sport TV2
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2, SupeSport ESPN
Spain	GolStadium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	PSV Eindhoven		NEC Nijmegen

	1	X	2
	1.53	5	5	Watch
	1.52	4.65	5.4
	1.55	5.2	5.34
	1.52	4.93	5.21	Watch
	1.5	4.75	4.8
	1.57	5.1	5.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.35)	4.94 ↓ (5.03)	5.14 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSV Eindhoven
62.2%

Draw
19.3%

NEC Nijmegen
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

18.2%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

17.4%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that PSV Eindhoven's form might have worsened.

NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PSV Eindhoven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NEC Nijmegen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	22.7%	13.6%

PSV Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. PSV will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSV: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.17) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - PSV (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Nijmegen (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): PSV Eindhoven will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. PSV (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Nijmegen (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Kovar M. (G) 25. Sildillia K. 6. Flamingo R. 3. Gasiorowski Y. 2. Salah-Eddine A. 22. Schouten J. (C) 34. Saibari I. 27. Man D. 10. Wanner P. 5. Perisic I. 9. Pepi R.	22. Cillessen J. (G) 15. Willems J. 4. Kaplan A. 24. Fonville D. 25. Ouaissa S. 6. Nejasmic D. 23. Sano K. 11. Onal B. 10. Chery T. (C) 20. Lebreton N. 30. Linssen B.
Substitutes
19. Bajraktarevic E. 21. Boadu M. 11. Driouech C. 31. Fernandez N. 38. Merien F. 4. Obispo A. 24. Schiks N. (G) 51. Smolenaars T. (G) 50. Verkooijen N.	34. El Bakkari Y. 31. Janse R. (G) 7. Misidjan V. 17. Nuytinck B. 18. Ogawa K. 5. Ouwejan T. 38. Overmars M. (G) 71. Proper D. 44. Rensen M. 19. Willumsson W. T.
Coaches
Bosz P.	Schreuder D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Linssen B. ⚽, Ouaissa S. (A),
32', Nejasmic D. 🟨,
38', 0 - 2, Linssen B. ⚽, Sano K. (A),
42', 1 - 2, Sildillia K. ⚽, Saibari I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gasiorowski Y. ↓, Boadu M. ↑,
56', Willems J. ↓, Nuytinck B. ↑,
63', Ouaissa S. ↓, El Bakkari Y. ↑,
68', 1 - 3, El Bakkari Y. ⚽,
70', Pepi R. ↓, Driouech C. ↑,
76', Man D. ↓, Bajraktarevic E. ↑,
80', Sano K. 🟨,
83', Linssen B. ↓, Proper D. ↑,
86', Wanner P. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 3, Driouech C. ⚽, Saibari I. (A),
90+7', Nuytinck B. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSV won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, PSV is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSV won 16 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 58:25. (average 2.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, PSV won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 31:9. (average 3.1:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	PSV	8	6	1	1	26:10	16	19
11	Nijmegen	8	2	3	3	13:14	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
07.03.26	PSV Eindhoven - AZ Alkmaar	2:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
03.03.26	NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven	3:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
28.02.26	Heracles Almelo - PSV Eindhoven	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen	3:1 ✺
13.02.26	Volendam - PSV Eindhoven	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWWL
- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie
08.03.26	NEC Nijmegen - Volendam	3:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
03.03.26	NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven	3:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
28.02.26	NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard	2:3 ✺
21.02.26	Ajax - NEC Nijmegen	1:1 ✺
17.02.26	Sparta Rotterdam - NEC Nijmegen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch KNVB Beker
03.03.26	NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven	3:2
Dutch Eredivisie
13.09.25	NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven	3:5
01.02.25	NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven	3:3
14.09.24	PSV Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen	2:0
30.03.24	NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven	3:1
16.09.23	PSV Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen	4:0
01.04.23	NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven	2:4

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