The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nacional 35.8%
Draw 31.1%
Boavista 33%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.1%
30.9%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
19.2%
34.6%
46.2%
Nacional - Boavista Predictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). Boavista will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 34.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Boavista: 27% โ 65.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Nacional has a chance of relegated (23%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Nacional in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Nacional won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.