Match Info
Date: 10 September 2020, Thursday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Defensor Sporting |
|
Nacional |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.1 |
3.4 |
2 |
 Watch |
 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
2 |
Watch |
 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
1.95 |
|
 |
3.15 |
3.35 |
2.07 |
|
 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
2 |
|
 |
3.56 |
3.22 |
2.09 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↓
(3.4) |
3.38 ↓
(3.59) |
2.02 ↑
(1.94) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Defensor Sporting
27.9% | Draw
27% | Nacional
45.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensor Sporting that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+17.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Defensor Sporting - Nacional Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Preview
Recent matches Defensor Sporting is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Nacional is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4). Defensor Sporting could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. Nacional will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Defensor Sporting won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3. Including matches at home between the teams Defensor Sporting won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Uruguayan Primera Division | | | 21.11.19 | Defensor Sporting - Nacional | 2:1 | | 13.07.19 | Nacional - Defensor Sporting | 1:2 | | 19.05.19 | Nacional - Defensor Sporting | 1:0 |
|
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✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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