Match Info

Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Arsenio Erico (Asunción)

Referee: Bogado M. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports


	Nacional Asuncion		Sportivo San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4	Watch
	1.9	3	3.7
	1.82	3.3	4.15	Watch
	1.86	3.3	5.17
	1.19	5.60	20.71	Watch
	1.85	3	4.4
	1.85	3.16	4.72	Watch
	1.8	3.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.82)	3.48 ↑ (3.38)	6.48 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Asuncion
56.4%

Draw
28.4%

Sportivo San Lorenzo
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.9%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Asuncion's performance.

Sportivo San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo San Lorenzo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nacional Asuncion will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Rojas S. (G) 14. Diaz F. 3. Canete Torres A. D. 4. Gutierrez T. 23. Espinola C. 33. Gaona Lugo O. 24. Santa C. R. 8. Jara F. 27. Prieto R. 10. Arrua C. (C) 18. Valdez I.	1. Cristoforo F. (G) 2. Esteche L. 5. Paredes T. 4. Doldan J. 11. Torres I. 17. Jara T. 8. Quinonez A. 22. Figueroa I. 30. Galeano A. 9. Barrios J. 10. Alvarez A.
Substitutes
11. Almeida M. 7. Bailone I. 5. Benitez G. 9. Benitez H. 15. Caceres L. 21. Feliu J. 19. Gonzalez L. 13. Meza L. 1. Ortiz G. (G) 36. Pelozo F. 25. Ramirez Antunez R. C. 29. Vargas S.	18. Aveiro P. 19. Caceres L. 16. Cespedes V. 29. Garcia M. 21. Gonzalez H. 28. Oviedo A. 15. Pinatares B. 12. Quinonez W. (G) 23. Rivas F. 6. Villamayor H.
Coaches
Gimenez F.	Orteman S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Valdez I. ⚽, Espinola C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jara T. ↓, Cespedes V. ↑,
60', Arrua C. 🟨,
61', Prieto R. ↓, Bailone I. ↑,
61', Santa C. R. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
73', Quinonez A. ↓, Villamayor H. ↑,
73', Alvarez A. ↓, Oviedo A. ↑,
75', Gaona Lugo O. ↓, Vargas S. ↑,
75', Arrua C. ↓, Meza L. ↑,
83', Valdez I. ↓, Caceres L. ↑,
89', Torres I. ↓, Aveiro P. ↑,
89', Figueroa I. ↓, Pinatares B. ↑,

Preview

In this match, Nacional is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Nacional Asuncion	13	6	5	2	20:8	12	23
12	San Lorenzo	13	0	3	10	4:22	-18	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
27.11.25	Deportivo Recoleta - Nacional Asuncion	0:0 ✺
20.11.25	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	2:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
14.11.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	0:4 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
10.11.25	Atlético Tembetary - Nacional Asuncion	0:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
05.11.25	General Caballero JLM - Nacional Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWWL
- Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
04.10.25	Fernando de la Mora - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:3 ✺
29.09.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Deportivo Santaní	1:0 ✺
22.09.25	Encarnación - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Tacuary	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	12 de Junio - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWTWT

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