Match Info

Date: 26 May 2021, Wednesday


	Nacional Montevideo		Argentinos Juniors

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.8	3.8	Watch
	1.78	3.7	4.2
	1.83	3.55	4.1	Watch
	1.85	3.45	4
	1.86	3.74	4.12
	1.88	3.6	4	Watch
	1.85	3.6	4.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.72)	3.63 ↓ (3.75)	4.05 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Montevideo
51%

Draw
25.8%

Argentinos Juniors
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

24.9%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

15.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional Montevideo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Argentinos Juniors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.2%	8.1%	17.7%

Nacional Montevideo - Argentinos Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 46 - 74.2%). Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 11 - 17.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 8.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 63.3% – 85.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nacional is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.05.21	Progreso - Nacional Montevideo	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.05.21	Nacional Montevideo - Universidad Católica	1:0 ✺
12.05.21	Atlético Nacional - Nacional Montevideo	0:0 ✺
05.05.21	Universidad Católica - Nacional Montevideo	3:1 ✺
Uruguayan Super Cup
02.05.21	Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWTLW
- Argentinos Juniors
Copa Libertadores
20.05.21	Argentinos Juniors - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
12.05.21	Argentinos Juniors - Universidad Católica	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.05.21	Argentinos Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.21	Atlético Nacional - Argentinos Juniors	0:2 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.05.21	Aldosivi - Argentinos Juniors	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
20.04.21	Argentinos Juniors - Nacional Montevideo	2:0
Club Friendly
02.02.13	Nacional Montevideo - Argentinos Juniors	3:1

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