Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Gran Parque Central (Montevideo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ramirez M. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
Argentina	21:30	Disney+, FOX Sports 3
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	10:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bolivia	20:30	ESPN 5
Brazil	21:30	Paramount+
Canada	20:30	beIN Connect
Chile	20:30	Disney+, ESPN 5
Colombia	19:30	Disney+, ESPN 5
Ecuador	19:30	ESPN 5
Italy	02:30	Como TV
Mexico	18:30	Disney+
New Zealand	12:30	beIN Connect
Paraguay	20:30	ESPN 5
Peru	19:30	Disney+, ESPN 5
Uruguay	21:30	Disney+
Usa	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
Venezuela	20:30	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter


	Nacional Montevideo		Coquimbo Unido

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.7	4.75	Watch
	1.9	3.3	4.1
	1.72	3.55	4.7	Watch
	1.77	3.8	4.87
	1.74	3.54	5.09	Watch
	1.73	3.4	4.6	Watch
	1.76	3.69	4.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2)	3.57 ↑ (3.19)	4.72 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Montevideo
53.6%

Draw
26.4%

Coquimbo Unido
20%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.8%

29.4%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

30%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Montevideo's performance.

Coquimbo Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional Montevideo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.9%	5.7%	11.4%

Nacional Montevideo - Coquimbo Unido Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nacional (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Coquimbo (7.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nacional Montevideo will win (29 of 35 users predict this - 82.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.37% – 95.35%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Nacional (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Coquimbo (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mejia L. (G) 77. Rodriguez N. 4. Coates S. (C) 2. Rogel A. 32. Viera T. 56. Garcia Lantean J. I. 14. Lodeiro N. 27. Veron T. 10. dos Santos A. 31. Martinez R. 9. Gomez M.	1. Flores G. (G) 17. Salinas F. 2. Gazzolo B. 3. Fernandez M. (C) 16. Cornejo J. 6. Glaby D. 14. Cordero S. 15. Zavala C. 10. Vadala G. 30. Chandia B. 12. Pratto L.
Substitutes
13. Ancheta E. 30. Barcia B. 6. Boggio L. 15. Calione P. 21. Candido C. 20. Carneiro G. 19. De Los Santos J. 39. Gonzalez L. 7. Lopez N. 18. Nunez P. 25. Suarez I. (G) 8. Vera M.	11. Azocar Machuca A. E. 28. Cabrera S. 8. Camargo A. 21. Dorador C. (G) 5. Escobar D. 4. Hernandez E. 9. Johansen N. 20. Mundaca Barraza M. A. 27. Riveros L. 18. Rodriguez P. 26. Soza L. 25. Villegas V. (G)
Coaches
Bava J.	Caputto H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Gomez M. ⚽,
12', Glaby D. 🟨,
45+1', Viera T. 🟥,
45+3', Rogel A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mejia L. ↓, Suarez I. ↑,
46', Veron T. ↓, Barcia B. ↑,
46', Lodeiro N. ↓, Ancheta E. ↑,
49', Fernandez M. 🟨,
59', Barcia B. ↓, Boggio L. ↑,
61', Vadala G. ↓, Riveros L. ↑,
73', Glaby D. ↓, Johansen N. ↑,
82', Martinez R. ↓, De Los Santos J. ↑,
84', Gazzolo B. 🟨,
88', Chandia B. ↓, Azocar Machuca A. E. ↑,
90+5', Pratto L. 🟨,

Preview

Coquimbo is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Coquimbo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Coquimbo has had a series of home games.

In this match, Nacional is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nacional won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Nacional Montevideo - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.83%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.05.26	Nacional Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.05.26	Nacional Montevideo - Universitario de Deportes	0:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
15.05.26	Montevideo City Torque - Nacional Montevideo	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Nacional Montevideo - Cerro	4:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.26	Deportes Tolima - Nacional Montevideo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWWL
- Coquimbo Unido
Chilean Primera Division
22.05.26	Everton de Viña - Coquimbo Unido	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.05.26	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes Tolima	3:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
15.05.26	Coquimbo Unido - Audax Italiano	3:0 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
13.05.26	Coquimbo Unido - Colo-Colo	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Coquimbo Unido - Huachipato	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
08.04.26	Coquimbo Unido - Nacional Montevideo	1:1

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