Match Info

Date: 13 April 2022, Wednesday


	Nacional Montevideo		Estudiantes La Plata

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.62	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.6
	2.7	3.1	2.63	Watch
	2.85	3.05	2.5
	2.93	3.18	2.65
	2.62	3	2.6	Watch
	2.77	3.22	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.53)	3.12 ↑ (3.05)	2.6 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Montevideo
33.9%

Draw
30%

Estudiantes La Plata
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

30.1%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

30.9%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Nacional Montevideo - Estudiantes La Plata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Nacional is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Estudiantes is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nacional won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
10.04.22	Boston River - Nacional Montevideo	0:6 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.04.22	Red Bull Bragantino - Nacional Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.04.22	Nacional Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:0 ✺
20.03.22	Montevideo Wanderers - Nacional Montevideo	2:2 ✺
13.03.22	Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWTT
- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
10.04.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Central Córdoba	5:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.04.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Vélez Sársfield	4:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.04.22	Godoy Cruz - Estudiantes La Plata	3:3 ✺
Copa Argentina
25.03.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Puerto Nuevo	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
20.03.22	Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
24.05.18	Estudiantes La Plata - Nacional Montevideo	3:1
28.02.18	Nacional Montevideo - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0

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