Match Info

URUGUAY: Primera Division - Torneo Intermedio - Round 4

Date: 7 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Gran Parque Central (Montevideo)

Referee: Lasso L. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Viju+ Sport
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
Turkey	GOL TV Play, GOL TV Play
Usa	FuboTV
World	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Nacional Montevideo		Rampla Juniors

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.5	8.5	Watch
	1.26	5.25	9.5
	1.25	5.5	10
	1.28	5.85	10.5
	1.28	5.4	10.24	Watch
	1.22	5.5	10
	1.26	5.57	10.6	Watch
	1.26	5.4	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.34)	5.5 ↑ (5.02)	9.87 ↑ (7.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Montevideo
73.7%

Draw
16.9%

Rampla Juniors
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

18.6%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

17.9%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Rampla Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Nacional Montevideo - Rampla Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: Nacional Montevideo will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Suarez I. (G) 14. Lozano L. 3. Izquierdo J. 23. Polenta D. (C) 11. Baez Corradi G. 8. Oliva C. 26. Sanabria L. 7. Galeano A. 10. Pereyra M. 19. Gonzalez G. 29. Santander F.	12. Samurio A. (G) 17. Barrandeguy F. 3. Centurion L. 24. Gorga S. (C) 8. Gabriel G. 18. Adoryan T. 26. Nunez M. 16. Almeida E. 10. Machado G. 28. Casuriaga F. 11. Royon N.
Substitutes
13. Antoni M. 9. Bentancourt R. 6. Cairus F. 20. Carneiro G. 16. Castro A. 4. Haller R. 1. Machado F. (G) 18. Recoba J. 5. Romero F. 22. Zabala D.	19. Burruzo M. 33. Camargo G. 4. Graces A. 21. Leites A. 30. Madruga A. 5. Mendez I. 13. Mozzone E. 14. Rosa D. 20. Tamareo L. 25. Vera M. (G)
Coaches
Lasarte M.	Martinez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Adoryan T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Sanabria L. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
59', Gonzalez G. ↓, Carneiro G. ↑,
59', Santander F. ↓, Bentancourt R. ↑,
66', Machado G. ↓, Madruga A. ↑,
66', Almeida E. ↓, Rosa D. ↑,
71', Gabriel G. 🟨,
72', Pereyra M. ↓, Zabala D. ↑,
72', Bentancourt R. 🟨,
77', Galeano A. ↓, Recoba J. ↑,
78', Casuriaga F. ↓, Graces A. ↑,
78', Royon N. ↓, Burruzo M. ↑,
88', Izquierdo J. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 1, Burruzo M. ⚽,
90+7', Gabriel G. 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 1, Recoba J. ⚽,
90+9', Polenta D. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 4.

Recent matches Nacional is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rampla Juniors is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Nacional have a series of guest games.

In this match Nacional is certain favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Nacional won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 23-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.06.24	Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo	0:4 ✺
15.06.24	Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	2:1 ✺
09.06.24	Cerro - Nacional Montevideo	3:0 ✺
04.06.24	Boston River - Nacional Montevideo	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
30.05.24	Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWL
- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.06.24	Rampla Juniors - Miramar Misiones	1:2 ✺
16.06.24	Danubio - Rampla Juniors	2:0 ✺
11.06.24	Rampla Juniors - Boston River	1:1 ✺
01.06.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Rampla Juniors	2:1 ✺
25.05.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
20.04.24	Nacional Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	6:2
Uruguay Copa
21.09.22	Rampla Juniors - Nacional Montevideo	3:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
28.07.18	Nacional Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:1
02.06.18	Rampla Juniors - Nacional Montevideo	0:2
10.02.18	Rampla Juniors - Nacional Montevideo	0:3
23.11.17	Rampla Juniors - Nacional Montevideo	0:2
30.04.17	Nacional Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:0

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