Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 6 August 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Nacional de Patos		Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense

	1	X	2
	1.85	3	3.9
	1.95	2.9	3.8
	1.88	3.09	3.77
	1.8	3	4.2
	1.78	3.32	4.5
	1.9	3.1	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.03)	3.07 ↓ (3.25)	4.03 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional de Patos
48.4%

Draw
29.3%

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
22.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45%

28.1%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

28.1%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional de Patos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional de Patos than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Nacional de Patos - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Recent matches Nacional de Patos is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

ASA is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Nacional de Patos have a series of guest games.

In this match Nacional de Patos is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nacional de Patos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional de Patos
Brazilian Serie D
29.07.23	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Nacional de Patos	1:0 ✺
23.07.23	Potiguar - Nacional de Patos	0:0 ✺
16.07.23	Nacional de Patos - Iguatu	3:1 ✺
09.07.23	Sousa - Nacional de Patos	1:0 ✺
01.07.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Nacional de Patos	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTWLT
- Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Brazilian Serie D
29.07.23	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Nacional de Patos	1:0 ✺
23.07.23	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Jacuipense	3:2 ✺
15.07.23	Bahia de Feira - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:0 ✺
09.07.23	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:2 ✺
01.07.23	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Sergipe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
29.07.23	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Nacional de Patos	1:0

Nacional de Patos - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Nacional de Patos - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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