The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Naft Maysan 23.6%
Draw 28.1%
Arbil 48.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.6%
27.5%
46.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.6%
26.4%
48.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naft Maysan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Arbil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft Maysan than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Naft Maysan - Arbil Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Miullen ⚽, Shebar A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+7', Inonga H. 🟥,
90+8', 1 - 1, Gueye Dieme D. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 18th in the Stars League (Relegation) and 3rd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naft Maysan won 0.
In recent outings, Naft Maysan has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Arbil shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Arbil is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Naft Maysan has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:7 (averaging 0.5:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Naft Maysan against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.3:0.3 per game).