The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nagoya Grampus 40.2%
Draw 27.2%
Fagiano Okayama 32.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.2%
26.8%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
27.2%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Schmidt D. (G) 41. Ono M. 3. Sato Y. 55. Tokumoto S. 10. Mateus 15. Inagaki S. 33. Kikuchi T. 58. Koyamatsu T. 19. Koda H. 14. Morishima T. 11. Yamagishi Y.
52. Hamada T. (G) 5. Shu I. 43. Suzuki Y. 55. Fujii Y. 28. Matsumoto M. 7. Takeuchi R. 33. Kamiya Yuta 88. Yamane T. 20. Kawano K. 17. Sueyoshi R. 99. Lucao
Substitutes
13. Fujii H. 49. Fukaya S. 22. Kimura Y. 46. Oiso R. 35. Pisano A. (G) 68. Sameshima A. 30. Sugiura S. 31. Takamine T. 47. Takeuchi Y.
79. Browne N. 8. Esaka A. 77. Kawanami G. (G) 9. Leo Gaucho 41. Miyamoto E. 26. Motoyama H. 80. Oberdan 6. Omori H. 30. Suemune K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', Sueyoshi R. 🟨,
27', Mateus 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Shu I. ⚽, Kamiya Yuta (A),
32', 1 - 1, Koda H. ⚽, Yamagishi Y. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Kikuchi T. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
46', Inagaki S. ↓, Fujii H. ↑,
46', Morishima T. ↓, Takamine T. ↑,
46', Yamane T. ↓, Omori H. ↑,
46', 2 - 1, Koda H. ⚽, Yamagishi Y. (A),
51', 2 - 2, Fujii Y. ⚽, Kamiya Yuta (A),
53', Shu I. 🟨,
60', Kawano K. ↓, Esaka A. ↑,
65', Matsumoto M. ↓, Miyamoto E. ↑,
65', Lucao ↓, Leo Gaucho ↑,
69', 3 - 2, Ono M. ⚽,
71', Mateus ↓, Sugiura S. ↑,
73', Takeuchi R. ↓, Oberdan ↑,
84', Kamiya Yuta 🟨,
85', Sato Y. 🟨,
87', Ono M. ↓, Fukaya S. ↑,
88', 3 - 3, Leo Gaucho ⚽, Esaka A. (A),
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Sueyoshi R. ↓, Motoyama H. ↑,
102', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Sameshima A. ↑,
106', Kimura Y. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Takamine T. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Motoyama H. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Kimura Y. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Esaka A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Sugiura S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Miyamoto E. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Koda H. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Oberdan (Penalty Awarded),
5, Koyamatsu T. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Leo Gaucho (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Okayama could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Nagoya has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Nagoya has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:5 (averaging 1.1:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nagoya against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 6:3 goals (averaging 1.2:0.6 per game).
Outrights of Japan J League Cup for now
Okayama: 1.87% Nagoya Grampus: 0.94%
Last Results with these Odds
Nagoya Grampus - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.17%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.
Fagiano Okayama - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Japan
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Schmidt D. (G) 
Mateus 
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