Match Info

Premier League - Round 30

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday


	Nairobi City Stars		Mara Sugar

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.9	2.47
	2.85	2.92	2.46
	2.85	3.01	2.47	Watch
	2.92	2.85	2.46
	2.85	2.9	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.4)	2.92 ↑ (2.9)	2.47 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nairobi City Stars
31.8%

Draw
31.2%

Mara Sugar
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

30.8%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

30.1%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nairobi City Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nairobi City Stars's form might have worsened.

Mara Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairobi City Stars than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nairobi City Stars, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mara Sugar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nairobi City Stars - Mara Sugar Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Mara Sugar (1.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mara Sugar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Hamisi S. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Owino V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 3 - 0, Ochieng H. ⚽,
53', 3 - 1, Cheruiyot D. ⚽,
63', 3 - 2, Cheruiyot D. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 14).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nairobi City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nairobi City Stars
Kenyan Premier League
04.05.25	Muranga Seal - Nairobi City Stars	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Nairobi City Stars - Shabana	0:2 ✺
20.04.25	Tusker - Nairobi City Stars	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Nairobi City Stars - Police FC	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Nairobi City Stars - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLTT
- Mara Sugar FC
Kenyan Premier League
04.05.25	Mara Sugar - Ulinzi Stars	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Gor Mahia - Mara Sugar	4:0 ✺
19.04.25	Mara Sugar - Kenya CB	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Mara Sugar - Tusker	1:1 ✺
28.03.25	Mathare United - Mara Sugar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
21.09.24	Mara Sugar - Nairobi City Stars	1:0

Nairobi City Stars - Mara Sugar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide