Match Info

Premier League - Round 31

Date: 15 May 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Gor Mahia		Nairobi City Stars

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.18	7.97
	1.36	4.19	8.6	Watch
	1.31	4.1	11
	1.3	3.33	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.3)	3.95 ↑ (3.33)	9.02 ↑ (8.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gor Mahia
67.4%

Draw
22.7%

Nairobi City Stars
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

25.3%

9.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

23.5%

9.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

The chances for Nairobi City Stars have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nairobi City Stars than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gor Mahia - Nairobi City Stars Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Gor Mahia (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Gor Mahia will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gor Mahia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Ochieng H. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Omalla B. ⚽,
17', 1 - 2, Owino V. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 4.

Gor Mahia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nairobi City is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gor Mahia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gor Mahia is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gor Mahia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gor Mahia
Kenyan Premier League
04.05.25	Shabana - Gor Mahia	0:1 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
01.05.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Gor Mahia	0:2 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
27.04.25	Gor Mahia - Mara Sugar	4:0 ✺
24.04.25	Gor Mahia - Talanta	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Sofapaka - Gor Mahia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLT
- Nairobi City Stars
Kenyan Premier League
09.05.25	Nairobi City Stars - Mara Sugar	3:2 ✺
04.05.25	Muranga Seal - Nairobi City Stars	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Nairobi City Stars - Shabana	0:2 ✺
20.04.25	Tusker - Nairobi City Stars	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Nairobi City Stars - Police FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
28.10.24	Nairobi City Stars - Gor Mahia	2:1
17.02.24	Nairobi City Stars - Gor Mahia	0:1
17.09.23	Gor Mahia - Nairobi City Stars	4:1
04.02.23	Gor Mahia - Nairobi City Stars	1:0
29.05.22	Nairobi City Stars - Gor Mahia	2:3
30.12.21	Gor Mahia - Nairobi City Stars	0:2
17.07.21	Nairobi City Stars - Gor Mahia	1:1

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