The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pau 22.8%
Draw 28.6%
Red Star 48.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.1%
29.5%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
28.2%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pau's form might have worsened.
Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Star's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+21.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-21.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Star, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.1%
76.9%
0%
Pau - Red Star Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 54% – 99.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 6 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Raveyre N. (G) 2. Pouilly T. 23. Briancon A. 25. Ruiz J. (C) 3. Kalulu J. 21. Beusnard S. 10. Versini G. 84. Touzghar R. 11. Gasnier K. 9. Dong K. 14. Bobichon A.
16. Poussin G. (G) 4. Kayi Sanda J. 24. Lemonnier P. 3. Huard M. 81. Haag G. 20. Durivaux D. 11. Cisse K. 10. Khaoui S. E. 98. Hachem R. (C) 23. Ikanga J. 29. Benali H.
Substitutes
6. Fall C. 26. Glossoa N. 19. Kante 4. Karamoko S. 7. Messi R. 40. Paradowski T. (G) 87. Zuliani E.
1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 91. Cabral K. 7. Durand D. 21. Hachem A. 17. Renel S. 22. Sylla D. 25. Trani G.
Coaches
Usai N.
Poirier G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Benali H. ⚽, Durivaux D. (A),
3', Kalulu J. 🟥,
7', Gasnier K. ↓, Karamoko S. ↑,
26', Ruiz J. 🟨,
29', Huard M. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 2, Benali H. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Benali H. ↓, Durand D. ↑,
65', Pouilly T. 🟥,
67', Versini G. ↓, Zuliani E. ↑,
67', Bobichon A. ↓, Messi R. ↑,
67', Dong K. ↓, Glossoa N. ↑,
69', Cisse K. 🟨,
74', Ikanga J. ↓, Hachem A. ↑,
74', Khaoui S. E. ↓, Renel S. ↑,
74', Beusnard S. ↓, Fall C. ↑,
81', 0 - 3, Durand D. ⚽, Cisse K. (A),
86', Cisse K. ↓, Trani G. ↑,
86', Hachem R. ↓, Cabral K. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 4.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Pau: Gaspar J.
(Inactive)
Sadik O.
(Inactive)
Zuliani E.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Escartin J.
(Injury)
Rabouille V.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Red Star: Durand D.
(Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pau won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 2.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).