Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 17

Date: 6 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Nanjing Youth Olympic Sports Park (Nanjing)


	Nanjing City		Dongguan Guanlian

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.8	6
	1.44	3.75	7
	1.49	4.13	6.66
	1.44	3.7	7
	1.47	4.1	6.6
	1.46	3.9	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.69)	3.9 ↑ (3.62)	6.58 ↑ (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nanjing City
62.6%

Draw
23.5%

Dongguan Guanlian
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

25.9%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

26.8%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nanjing City's performance.

Dongguan Guanlian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nanjing City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dongguan Guanlian than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Nanjing City - Dongguan Guanlian Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Huang Zihao (G) 39. Jiang Zhe 13. Wu Xinghan 44. Fu Huan 4. Zhang Xinlin 30. Erkin Ababekri 36. Traore A. 28. Bouli R. 17. Sun Guoliang 20. Nie Aoshuang 8. Jiang Shichao	34. Zhang X. (G) 14. Yao Xilong 10. Onuegbu K. 23. Loe R. 22. Zhao Mingjian 20. Wang Xingqiang 28. Zhang Xingbo 8. Ruan Jun 21. Cui Xinglong 30. Huang Chuqi 9. Beshathan Zanhar
Substitutes
6. Duan Yunzi 16. Han Xuan 7. Huang Peng 19. Huang Zhenfei 42. Ma Yujun 21. Qi Yuxi (G) 12. Qu Cheng 25. Xing Yu (G) 9. Yang He 3. Yen Yaki 11. Zhang Huajun 15. Zhou Yu	1. Chen Junxu (G) 35. He Mingli 15. Sun D. 26. Su Shihao 11. Wu Jianfei 42. Wu Y. 12. Xue Y. 2. Zhang Sijie 36. Zhong Ziqin
Coaches
Cao Rui	Wang Hongwei

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 and 10).

Recent matches Nanjing City is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dongguan Guanlian is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nanjing City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nanjing City is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nanjing City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
29.07.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Nanjing City	3:0 ✺
23.07.23	Nanjing City - Liaoning Tieren	4:0 ✺
15.07.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Nanjing City	0:0 ✺
08.07.23	Nanjing City - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:0 ✺
02.07.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Nanjing City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWTTW
- Dongguan Guanlian
Chinese Jia League
30.07.23	Wuxi Wugou - Dongguan Guanlian	0:1 ✺
22.07.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Dongguan Guanlian	3:4 ✺
16.07.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Heilongjiang Ice City	2:2 ✺
09.07.23	Ningbo Professional - Dongguan Guanlian	1:1 ✺
02.07.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
30.04.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Nanjing City	1:1

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