Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	13:15	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	20:15	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Austria	17:15	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:15	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	13:15	Caze TV
Bulgaria	18:15	Nova Sport
Canada	11:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	13:15	Disney+, ESPN 3
China	00:15	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	11:15	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	17:15	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	18:15	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	17:15	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	17:15	Viaplay
Finland	18:15	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	17:15	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	17:15	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	00:15	beIN Sports 3
Italy	17:15	Ligue 1+
Japan	01:15	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	17:15	ART Sport 4
Mexico	10:15	FOX One
Netherlands	17:15	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	17:15	Viaplay
Peru	11:15	Disney+
Portugal	16:15	Sport TV3
Russia	19:15	Okko Sport
Serbia	17:15	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	17:15	Voyo
Slovenia	17:15	Arena Sport 4
South Korea	01:15	Coupang Play
Sweden	17:15	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	17:15	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	19:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
United Kingdom	16:15	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	13:15	Disney+
Usa	11:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	12:15	Disney+, Inter
International	16:15	Onefootball


	Metz		Lyon

	1	X	2
	5	3.8	1.67	Watch
	4.5	3.9	1.73
	5.35	3.9	1.65	Watch
	5.38	3.96	1.68
	5.25	3.94	1.66	Watch
	4.8	3.7	1.65
	5.53	4.02	1.71	Watch
	5	4	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.1 ↑ (4.48)	3.9 ↓ (4.04)	1.68 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metz
18.7%

Draw
24.4%

Lyon
56.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.1%

23.4%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

22.7%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Lyon aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.1%	6.1%	87.8%

Metz - Lyon Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Metz (4.61) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Lyon (2.18) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Lyon (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lyon will win (43 of 49 users predict this - 87.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 96.94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lyon will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Metz (votes: 2 - 8.7%). Lyon (votes: 21 - 91.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fischer J. (G) 39. Kouao K. 5. Gbamin J. 15. Yegbe T. 2. Colin M. 8. Traore B. 20. Deminguet J. 12. Toure A. 10. Hein G. (C) 30. Diallo H. 7. Tsitaishvili G.	1. Greif D. (G) 98. Maitland-Niles A. 22. Mata C. 21. Kluivert R. 33. Hateboer H. 6. Tessmann T. 23. Morton T. 8. Tolisso C. (C) 44. Merah K. 9. Endrick 17. Moreira A.
Substitutes
9. Abuashvili G. 97. Ballo-Toure F. 40. Ba O. (G) 11. Mbaye M. 4. Mboula U. 25. Melieres C. 33. Munongo B. 23. Sane I. 21. Stambouli B.	39. de Carvalho M. 40. Descamps R. (G) 32. Gomes A. 46. Goncalves T. 34. Hamdani A. 45. Himbert R. 7. Karabec A. 19. Niakhate M. 10. Sulc P.
Coaches
Tavenot B.	Fonseca P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
11', 0 - 1, Endrick ⚽, Tolisso C. (A),
16', 0 - 2, Kluivert R. ⚽, Merah K. (A),
32', 0 - 3, Morton T. ⚽,
34', 1 - 3, Kouao K. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 4, Endrick ⚽, Morton T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tolisso C. ↓, Niakhate M. ↑,
62', Toure A. ↓, Stambouli B. ↑,
63', Yegbe T. ↓, Mboula U. ↑,
63', Deminguet J. ↓, Munongo B. ↑,
64', 2 - 4, Diallo H. ⚽, Kouao K. (A),
72', Kouao K. 🟨,
74', Merah K. ↓, de Carvalho M. ↑,
78', Colin M. ↓, Abuashvili G. ↑,
87', 2 - 5, Endrick (Penalty Awarded),
88', Hein G. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
90+2', Endrick ↓, Hamdani A. ↑,
90+3', Moreira A. ↓, Himbert R. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 1.

Metz is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lyon is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lyon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lyon is the team to beat.

There will not play in Metz: Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Sy P. (Concussion)

There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Lyon: Abner Vinicius (Injury) Ghezzal R. (Muscle Injury) Tagliafico N. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Metz won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:36. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 1:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Lyon	8	4	2	2	13:7	6	14

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lyon: 2.58%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metz
French Ligue 1
18.01.26	Strasbourg - Metz	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Metz - Montpellier	0:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
04.01.26	Lorient - Metz	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
20.12.25	Biesheim - Metz	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
13.12.25	Metz - Paris Saint-Germain	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTWL
- Olympique Lyon
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Young Boys - Lyon	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.01.26	Lyon - Brest	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Lille - Lyon	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
03.01.26	Monaco - Lyon	1:3 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Lyon - Saint-Cyr Collonges	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
23.08.25	Lyon - Metz	3:0
23.02.24	Metz - Lyon	1:2
05.11.23	Lyon - Metz	1:1
Coupe De France
07.01.23	Lyon - Metz	2:1
French Ligue 1
08.05.22	Metz - Lyon	3:2
22.12.21	Lyon - Metz	1:1
17.01.21	Lyon - Metz	0:1

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