Match Info

Date: 27 October 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade de la Beaujoire (Nantes) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kehlet J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay


	Nantes		Qarabağ Agdam

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.1
	2.3	3.3	3.1
	2.3	3.6	3.05
	2.27	3.45	3.15
	2.35	3.44	3.21
	2.25	3.4	3.1
	2.29	3.54	3.16
	2.33	3.5	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.31)	3.45 ↓ (3.51)	3.12 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantes
41.7%

Draw
27.7%

Qarabağ Agdam
30.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.9%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

26.7%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
49.2%	18.6%	32.2%

Nantes - Qarabağ Agdam Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 29 - 49.2%). Qarabağ will win (votes: 19 - 32.2%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 18.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nantes: 36.4% – 62%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Nantes has a small chance of knockout phase (15%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (4%), has a very small chance of qtrs (1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 3, has not chance of 1st, has a small chance of 2nd (15%), has a good chance of 3rd (64%).

Qarabağ has a good chance of knockout phase (85%), has a small chance of round of 16 (15%), has a very small chance of qtrs (3%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 7, has a very small chance of 1st (1%), has a good chance of 2nd (84%), has a small chance of 3rd (15%).

This event has quality 51, importance 55, match rating 53. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Nantes is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Qarabağ in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nantes will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Nantes: Fabio (Knee Injury) Traore C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Qarabağ: Leandro Andrade (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nantes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
23.10.22	Nice - Nantes	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	Nantes - Brest	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.10.22	Nantes - Freiburg	0:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
09.10.22	Rennes - Nantes	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.10.22	Freiburg - Nantes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWLLL
- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League
20.10.22	Qarabağ Agdam - Turan Tovuz	3:0 ✺
16.10.22	Qarabağ Agdam - Sumgayit	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.10.22	Qarabağ Agdam - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
09.10.22	Gabala - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.10.22	Olympiacos Piraeus - Qarabağ Agdam	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
15.09.22	Qarabağ Agdam - Nantes	3:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nantes
French Ligue 2
30.10.26	Nantes - Clermont	✺

Nantes - Qarabağ Agdam