The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Freiburg 66.4%
Draw 20.5%
Nantes 13.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.8%
23.5%
17.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.6%
22.8%
17.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Freiburg's performance.
Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Freiburg that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.7%
5.1%
8.2%
Freiburg - Nantes Predictions
Users Predictions:
Freiburg will win
(137 of 158 users predict this - 86.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 81.42% – 92%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Freiburg has currently - 6, has a good chance of 1st (84%), has a small chance of 2nd (12%), has a very small chance of 3rd (3%), has a good chance of round of 16 (89%), has a chance of qtrs (40%), has a chance of semis (18%), has a small chance of final (8%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
Nantes has currently - 3, has a small chance of 1st (11%), has a chance of 2nd (38%), has a chance of 3rd (34%), has a chance of round of 16 (21%), has a small chance of qtrs (7%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality63, importance52, match rating58. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Freiburg is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Nantes is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Freiburg is the unquestionable favorite.
There will not play in Freiburg: Ezekwem K.
(Suspended)
Sallai R.
(Injury)
There will not play in Nantes: Centonze F.
(Muscle Injury)
Fabio
(Knee Injury)
Traore C.
(Knee Injury)
Our prediction for today's Freiburg to win the game is with odds 1.49.
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