Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice)

Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 5
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360


	Nice		Nantes

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	6.25	Watch
	1.71	3.75	4.8
	1.55	4.15	5.9
	1.72	4.05	5.09
	1.50	4.19	6.39	Watch
	1.65	3.75	5
	1.57	4.18	6.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.69)	4.04 ↑ (3.78)	5.65 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
59.5%

Draw
23.6%

Nantes
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

25.2%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

24.6%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.4%	24.1%	3.4%

Nice - Nantes Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 21 - 72.4%). Nantes will win (votes: 1 - 3.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 24.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 56.1% – 88.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Nantes (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Nantes (4.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Nice (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Nantes (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Diouf Y. (G) 4. Dante (C) 28. Bah J. 37. Peprah K. 92. Clauss J. 6. Boudaoui H. 24. Vanhoutte C. 26. Bard M. 10. Diop S. 7. Boga J. 90. Kevin	1. Lopes A. (G) 98. Amian K. (C) 6. Awaziem C. 78. Tati T. 3. Cozza N. 90. Benhattab Y. 80. Mwanga J. 8. Lepenant J. 7. Hong Hyun-Seok 31. Mostafa Mohamed 10. Abline M.
Substitutes
99. Abdul Samed S. 31. Dupe M. (G) 47. Gouveia T. 21. Jansson I. 20. Louchet T. 33. Mendy A. 9. Moffi T. 49. Nguene B. 8. Sanson M.	36. Camara A. 30. Carlgren P. (G) 24. Deuff B. 72. Doucoure S. 9. El Arabi Y. 5. Kwon Hyeok-Kyu 23. Lahdo M. 66. Leroux L. 17. Tabibou D.
Coaches
Haise F.	Castro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Bah J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Benhattab Y. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Boga J. ⚽, Vanhoutte C. (A),
58', Diop S. 🟨,
62', Kevin ↓, Moffi T. ↑,
62', Diop S. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,
65', Hong Hyun-Seok ↓, Leroux L. ↑,
75', Boga J. ↓, Jansson I. ↑,
75', Dante ↓, Gouveia T. ↑,
77', Mwanga J. ↓, Lahdo M. ↑,
81', Boudaoui H. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
86', Mostafa Mohamed ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,
86', Cozza N. ↓, Tabibou D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 0.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Nice is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Nantes: Acapandie M. (Injury) Guirassy B. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Nice: Cho M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nice won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
31.08.25	Le Havre - Nice	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Nice - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Nice - Toulouse	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.08.25	Benfica - Nice	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Nice - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLL
- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
30.08.25	Nantes - Auxerre	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Strasbourg - Nantes	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Nantes - Paris FC	2:3 ✺
02.08.25	Angers - Nantes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
04.04.25	Nice - Nantes	1:2
20.10.24	Nantes - Nice	1:1
31.03.24	Nice - Nantes	1:2
02.12.23	Nantes - Nice	1:0
12.03.23	Nantes - Nice	2:2
23.10.22	Nice - Nantes	1:1
Coupe De France
07.05.22	Nice - Nantes	0:1

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