Match Info

Serie A - Round 38

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples)

Referee: Zanotti A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Napoli		Udinese

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.2	7	Watch
	1.49	4.33	6.5
	1.49	4.25	6.9	Watch
	1.51	4.5	6.97
	1.52	4.34	6.92	Watch
	1.44	4	6
	1.54	4.5	7.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 (1.5)	4.3 ↓ (4.31)	6.76 ↑ (6.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli
63.7%

Draw
22.2%

Udinese
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

22.1%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

21.2%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	5.6%	38.9%

Napoli - Udinese Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Udinese will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meret A. (G) 22. Di Lorenzo G. (C) 13. Rrahmani A. 17. Olivera M. 21. Politano M. 68. Lobotka S. 8. McTominay S. 3. Gutierrez M. 20. Elmas E. 19. Hojlund R. 27. Alisson Santos	40. Okoye M. (G) 19. Ehizibue K. 31. Kristensen T. 27. Kabasele C. 28. Solet O. 33. Zemura J. 24. Piotrowski J. 8. Karlstrom J. (C) 38. Miller L. 14. Atta A. 9. Davis K.
Substitutes
99. Anguissa F. 31. Beukema S. 14. Contini N. (G) 11. De Bruyne K. 6. Gilmour B. 23. Giovane 5. Juan Jesus 30. Mazzocchi P. 32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 26. Vergara A.	15. Bayo V. 13. Bertola N. 18. Buksa A. 29. Camara A. 7. Gueye I. 22. Mlacic B. 1. Nunziante A. (G) 93. Padelli D. (G) 90. Sava R. (G) 6. Zarraga O.
Coaches
Conte A.	Runjaic K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Alisson Santos ↓, De Bruyne K. ↑,
24', 1 - 0, Hojlund R. ⚽, De Bruyne K. (A),
37', Lobotka S. ↓, Gilmour B. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Olivera M. ↓, Juan Jesus ↑,
51', Karlstrom J. 🟨,
54', Piotrowski J. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
59', Kristensen T. ↓, Bertola N. ↑,
59', Karlstrom J. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
64', Kabasele C. 🟥,
80', Politano M. ↓, Mazzocchi P. ↑,
80', Meret A. ↓, Contini N. ↑,
80', Zemura J. ↓, Mlacic B. ↑,
80', Davis K. ↓, Zarraga O. ↑,
81', Buksa A. 🟨,
90', Miller L. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).

Napoli is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Napoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Napoli is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Napoli: Lukaku R. (Hip Injury)

There will not play in Udinese: Kamara H. (Yellow Cards) Zaniolo N. (Back Injury) Zanoli A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Napoli: David Neres (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Udinese: Ekkelenkamp J. (Leg Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 15 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 47:18. (average 2.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:11. (average 2.9:1.1).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Napoli: 3.78% Udinese: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7:6	1	7
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8:11	-3	4

Last Results with these Odds

Napoli - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 63.41%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
17.05.26	Pisa - Napoli	0:3 ✺
11.05.26	Napoli - Bologna	2:3 ✺
02.05.26	Como - Napoli	0:0 ✺
24.04.26	Napoli - Cremonese	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Napoli - Lazio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTWL
- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
17.05.26	Udinese - Cremonese	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Cagliari - Udinese	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Udinese - Torino	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Lazio - Udinese	3:3 ✺
18.04.26	Udinese - Parma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
14.12.25	Udinese - Napoli	1:0
09.02.25	Napoli - Udinese	1:1
14.12.24	Udinese - Napoli	1:3
06.05.24	Udinese - Napoli	1:1
27.09.23	Napoli - Udinese	4:1
04.05.23	Udinese - Napoli	1:1
12.11.22	Napoli - Udinese	3:2

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