Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 15 December 2022, Thursday


	Aston Villa		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	2.85
	2.1	3.5	3
	2.18	3.65	2.85
	2.15	3.68	2.99
	2.1	3.5	2.9
	2.16	3.85	2.88	Watch
	2.18	3.65	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.06)	3.63 ↓ (3.7)	2.9 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aston Villa
43.1%

Draw
25.3%

Villarreal
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

24.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

25.8%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	17.6%	29.4%

Aston Villa - Villarreal Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Villarreal will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Villarreal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

Aston Villa will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aston Villa
Club Friendly
11.12.22	Chelsea - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
08.12.22	Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
30.11.22	Cardiff City - Aston Villa	3:1 ✺
English Premier League
13.11.22	Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
10.11.22	Manchester United - Aston Villa	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTLWL
- Villarreal CF
Club Friendly
06.12.22	Galatasaray - Villarreal	3:4 ✺
03.12.22	Fenerbahçe - Villarreal	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Santa Amalia - Villarreal	0:9 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
09.11.22	Espanyol - Villarreal	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Villarreal - Mallorca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWL

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