Match Info

J3 League - Round 12

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Sagamihara Gion Stadium (Sagamihara)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Sagamihara		Gainare Tottori

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	3.6
	1.87	3.35	3.75
	1.86	3.61	4
	1.89	3.55	3.82
	1.85	3.2	3.8
	1.82	3.44	3.87	Watch
	1.87	3.35	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.83)	3.39 ↓ (3.55)	3.8 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sagamihara
49.1%

Draw
26.9%

Gainare Tottori
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

25.6%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

25%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sagamihara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Gainare Tottori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainare Tottori than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Sagamihara - Gainare Tottori Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
46. Baumann N. (G) 3. Pytlik K. 33. Tokida M. 2. Kato D. 4. Shimakawa T. 18. Miki K. 8. Osako R. 17. Takeuchi T. 7. Kawano R. 9. Rafael Furtado 11. Muto Y.	31. Koma R. (G) 3. Nagano S. 4. Nikaido S. 6. Nukui H. 42. Kaneura M. 16. Maruyama S. 14. Fukoin M. 7. Ozawa H. 21. Kawamura T. 19. Miki N. 22. Yoshida I.
Substitutes
22. Fukui K. 23. Kato T. 1. Miura M. (G) 27. Nishiyama T. 28. Ogasawara K. 24. Sugimoto R. 14. Takagi A. 5. Tashiro M. 6. Tokunaga Y.	2. Fujita I. 55. Oshima H. 39. Sakuraba R. (G) 34. Soga D. 9. Tanada R. 8. Tanaka K. 10. Togashi Y. 11. Tojo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Takeuchi T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Tokida M. 🟨,
53', Nagano S. 🟨,
59', Miki K. ↓, Sugimoto R. ↑,
59', Muto Y. ↓, Takagi A. ↑,
59', Rafael Furtado ↓, Kato T. ↑,
61', Nagano S. ↓, Oshima H. ↑,
70', Osako R. ↓, Tokunaga Y. ↑,
70', Ozawa H. ↓, Fujita I. ↑,
70', Fukoin M. ↓, Tojo A. ↑,
70', Maruyama S. ↓, Tanaka K. ↑,
81', Kawano R. ↓, Fukui K. ↑,
82', Miki N. ↓, Tanada R. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Kato D. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone J3 League (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Sagamihara is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sagamihara won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Sagamihara
Japan J3 League
03.05.25	Nagano Parceiro - Sagamihara	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Sagamihara	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Sagamihara - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Ryūkyū - Sagamihara	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Sagamihara - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTTLT
- Gainare Tottori
Japan J3 League
03.05.25	Gainare Tottori - Ryūkyū	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Gainare Tottori - Kagoshima United	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Gainare Tottori	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Gainare Tottori - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Fukushima United - Gainare Tottori	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
24.11.24	Sagamihara - Gainare Tottori	1:0
19.05.24	Gainare Tottori - Sagamihara	0:3
08.10.23	Gainare Tottori - Sagamihara	0:0
04.03.23	Sagamihara - Gainare Tottori	2:3
03.09.22	Sagamihara - Gainare Tottori	2:2
25.06.22	Gainare Tottori - Sagamihara	2:2
28.11.20	Sagamihara - Gainare Tottori	3:2

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