Match Info

J3 League - Round 13

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Konoike Athletic Stadium (Nara)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Nara Club		Tochigi

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.87	2.6
	2.7	2.9	2.6
	2.65	2.98	2.71
	2.76	2.91	2.79	Watch
	2.62	2.8	2.7
	2.64	2.83	2.65	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (3.8)	2.88 ↓ (3.55)	2.66 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nara Club
34.2%

Draw
31.6%

Tochigi
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

25.5%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

24.9%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nara Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nara Club's performance.

Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tochigi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nara Club than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nara Club that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tochigi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nara Club - Tochigi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Vito M. (G) 40. Yoshimura Y. 3. Sawada Y. 5. Suzuki D. 32. Yu Y. 70. Kawatani N. 25. Kamigaki R. 8. Horiuchi H. 23. Okada Y. 7. Tamura R. 17. Tamura S.	1. Kawata S. (G) 3. Omori H. 2. Hiramatsu W. 25. Iwasaki H. 8. Fukumori K. 77. Fujiwara K. 11. Aoshima T. 18. Kawana R. 7. Tanahashi A. 10. Igarashi T. 23. Hoshino S.
Substitutes
11. Hyakuda M. 22. Ikoma K. 20. Kunitake Y. 41. Morita R. 14. Nakashima K. 15. Okada S. (G) 33. Sato H. 13. Tsunami Y. 10. Yamamoto S.	37. Kimura Y. 5. Mori R. 9. Sugawara R. 22. Takahashi H. 40. Takashima S. 27. Tanno K. (G) 39. Yagi K. 29. Yano K. 47. Yoshino H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Hoshino S. ↓, Sugawara R. ↑,
73', Tamura R. ↓, Ikoma K. ↑,
73', Kawatani N. ↓, Kunitake Y. ↑,
76', Igarashi T. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
76', Fukumori K. ↓, Takahashi H. ↑,
78', Horiuchi H. ↓, Nakashima K. ↑,
81', Tamura S. 🟨,
83', Aoshima T. ↓, Yoshino H. ↑,
83', Iwasaki H. ↓, Takashima S. ↑,
86', Okada Y. ↓, Yamamoto S. ↑,
90+5', Hiramatsu W. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
90+6', Yu Y. ↓, Tsunami Y. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 11).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tochigi could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nara Club
Japan J3 League
06.05.25	Nara Club - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Kagoshima United - Nara Club	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Nara Club - Azul Claro Numazu	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Nara Club	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Nara Club - Gifu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWWLT
- Tochigi SC
Japan J3 League
06.05.25	Tochigi - Nagano Parceiro	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Tochigi	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Tochigi - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
16.04.25	Tochigi - Avispa Fukuoka	1:2 ✺
Japan J3 League
13.04.25	Gifu - Tochigi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLLW

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