Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 1

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Narva Kreenholmi staadion (Narva)

Referee: Lorenz J. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Soccernet TV


	Narva Trans		Harju JK Laagri

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.7	4
	1.58	3.95	4.95	Watch
	1.58	4.12	5.24
	1.68	4	4.45	Watch
	1.6	3.75	4.6
	1.6	4.16	4.94	Watch
	1.75	3.8	3.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.75)	3.93 ↑ (3.8)	4.59 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Narva Trans
56.4%

Draw
23.5%

Harju JK Laagri
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

24.2%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Narva Trans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Harju JK Laagri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Narva Trans - Harju JK Laagri Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Narva Trans (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Narva Trans (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Pareiko D. (G) 25. Burjanadze S. 5. Campagna C. 12. Eriks Santos 7. Velijev M. 21. Maksimkin M. (C) 8. Agaptsev S. 4. Ivanyushin A. 9. Doke J. 10. Gero A. 29. Kudriashov V.	1. Vainula J. (G) 7. Reimaa R. 15. Liit S. 24. Laur K. 4. Jarve A. (C) 23. Rudenko Daniil 5. Kartau I. 17. Kelement M. 9. Eerme K. 13. Sillamaa R. 19. Binate A.
Substitutes
47. Baljabkin N. 88. Besigirskis A. 19. Elysee 16. Kondrattsev S. 28. Miranda da Silva K. 39. Poliakov D. 26. Rowe H. 2. Shantenkov V. 17. Skinjov A. 6. Slein G. 1. Zahharov M. (G)	18. Bah I. 47. Ennuste K. 32. Kerge S. 22. Kesa M. 11. Kose A. 16. Kriis K. 79. Meesit R. (G) 53. Ndakala J. 6. Palutaja H. 21. Soo S.
Coaches
Kozhukhovskyi R.	Nuuma L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Reimaa R. ⚽, Laur K. (A),
15', Ivanyushin A. 🟨,
30', 0 - 2, Liit S. ⚽, Jarve A. (A),
43', Rudenko Daniil 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Binate A. ↓, Kriis K. ↑,
61', Laur K. 🟨,
61', 🟨,
61', 🟨,
63', Sillamaa R. ↓, Palutaja H. ↑,
63', Reimaa R. 🟨,
64', Kudriashov V. ↓, Miranda da Silva K. ↑,
67', Miranda da Silva K. 🟨,
70', 🟨,
73', Campagna C. ↓, Rowe H. ↑,
83', Kelement M. ↓, Kose A. ↑,
83', Reimaa R. ↓, Kesa M. ↑,
83', Eerme K. ↓, Soo S. ↑,
85', Doke J. ↓, Baljabkin N. ↑,
90', Agaptsev S. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, Rowe H. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 3.

Narva Trans has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Harju may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Narva Trans is seen as the favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Narva Trans won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Harju JK Laagri	29	11	2	16	40:47	-7	35
10	Narva	29	5	4	20	22:65	-43	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Narva Trans
Club Friendly
25.02.26	Narva Trans - Tartu Welco	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Kuressaare - Narva Trans	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Narva Trans	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Narva Trans - Paide LM	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Levadia Tallinn - Narva Trans	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TTWTT
- Harju JK Laagri
Club Friendly
07.02.26	Harju JK Laagri - Valmiera	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Harju JK Laagri	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Harju JK Laagri - PK-35 Vantaa	1:1 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
08.11.25	Harju JK Laagri - Levadia Tallinn	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Harju JK Laagri - Tallinna Kalev	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
25.10.25	Harju JK Laagri - Narva Trans	1:0
14.09.25	Narva Trans - Harju JK Laagri	1:3
27.05.25	Narva Trans - Harju JK Laagri	4:2
29.03.25	Harju JK Laagri - Narva Trans	0:3
Estonian Cup
31.10.24	Harju JK Laagri - Narva Trans	0:3
Estonian Meistriliiga
23.09.23	Narva Trans - Harju JK Laagri	1:3
18.08.23	Harju JK Laagri - Narva Trans	0:2

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