Match Info

BRAZIL: CATARINENSE - ROUND 9

Date: 19 February 2024, Monday


	Nação		Chapecoense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	3.6	1.6
	5	3.75	1.63	Watch
	4.45	3.6	1.55
	5.57	3.66	1.56
	5.16	3.8	1.61
	5	3.7	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.99 ↑ (3.85)	3.69 ↑ (3.33)	1.59 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nação
18.2%

Draw
24.7%

Chapecoense
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

26.9%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

23.6%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nação has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nação's form might have worsened.

Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chapecoense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nação than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nação, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chapecoense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Omar (G) 10. Brendon 11. Gabriel Calabres 4. Gabriel Vidal 8. Jair 3. Paulo Fales 7. Rene 9. Robinho 5. Roger Bernardo (C) 21. Vinicius Sousa 6. Willian Bahia	1. Gabriel Gasparotto (G) 5. Auremir (C) 13. Bruno Leonardo 19. Eduardo 3. Eduardo Doma 2. Mailton 6. Mancha 79. Marcelinho 7. Marcinho 9. Pedro Perotti 30. Thomas Bedinelli
Substitutes
2. Caio Felipe 17. Caua 22. Flavio Henrique 20. Jhonathan 12. Jhonnattan (G) 14. Luiz Gustavo 19. Otavio 18. Paul Henry 23. Pinheiro G. 16. Rickson 13. Scottini 15. Zemarcio	22. Bruno Vinicius 28. Habraao 23. Kelvyn 12. Leo Vieira (G) 8. Marlone 10. Osman 99. Rafael Carvalheira 18. Robinho 31. Tarik 21. Thiago Henrique 11. Tiago Alves 77. Walterson Silva

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Catarinense 2 and 10).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Recently Chapecoense have a series of home games.

In this match Chapecoense is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nação won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nação Esportes Canoinhas
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
15.02.24	Hercílio Luz - Nação	2:2 ✺
11.02.24	Nação - Figueirense	0:1 ✺
08.02.24	Internacional de Lages - Nação	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Criciúma - Nação	1:0 ✺
31.01.24	Nação - Brusque	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TLLLW
- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
14.02.24	Chapecoense - Internacional de Lages	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Chapecoense - Joinville	2:3 ✺
07.02.24	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Chapecoense - Concórdia	0:1 ✺
31.01.24	Chapecoense - Barra Santa Catarina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
24.09.23	Chapecoense - Nação	1:1

Upcoming Matches