Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 15

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Needham Market		Leighton Town

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.00	4.75
	1.56	3.95	4.50
	1.56	4.10	4.76
	1.52	4.53	5.2	Watch
	1.54	4.05	4.70
	1.60	4.37	4.68
	1.51	4.00	4.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.66)	4.14 ↑ (3.7)	4.77 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Needham Market
58.9%

Draw
22%

Leighton Town
19.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54%

24.2%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

22.8%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Needham Market has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Leighton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leighton Town than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Needham Market - Leighton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Oke-William M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 1 - 1, Lewis M. ⚽,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Southern League Premier Central Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 21st in the Relegation).

Needham is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Leighton Town has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Needham may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Needham carries the favorite tag into this contest.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Needham Market	14	7	3	4	29:20	9	24
21	Leighton Town	13	1	3	9	14:27	-13	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Needham Market
English FA Trophy
24.10.26	Needham Market - Wingate & Finchley	0:2 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
20.10.26	Needham Market - Bishops Stortford	2:1 ✺
17.10.26	Leamington - Needham Market	1:2 ✺
13.10.26	Bury Town - Needham Market	0:5 ✺
10.10.26	Needham Market - Anstey Nomads	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWWT
- Leighton Town
English Southern League Central Division
20.10.26	Banbury United - Leighton Town	1:0 ✺
17.10.26	Leighton Town - Rushall Olympic	0:3 ✺
10.10.26	Stourbridge - Leighton Town	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Leighton Town - Peterborough Sports	2:4 ✺
29.09.26	Hitchin Town - Leighton Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Needham Market - Leighton Town