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Current Win Probability
Needham Market 44.9%
Draw 24.1%
Wingate & Finchley 31%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.4%
22.7%
32%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
21.7%
30.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Needham Market has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Wingate & Finchley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Needham Market - Wingate & Finchley Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Needham won 2.
Needham has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Wingate & Finchley has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Wingate & Finchley has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Needham is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Needham has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:11 (averaging 0.7:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Needham against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:4 goals (averaging 0.7:1.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Needham Market - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.36%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Wingate & Finchley - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 31.96%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.