Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 16

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Needham Market		Nuneaton Town

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	4.33
	1.68	3.75	4.2
	1.6	4.26	4.7
	1.6	4.26	4.7
	1.56	3.94	4.85
	1.68	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.41)	3.99 ↓ (4.5)	4.5 ↓ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Needham Market
56.7%

Draw
22.9%

Nuneaton Town
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

21.2%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Needham Market has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Needham Market's form might have worsened.

Nuneaton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Needham Market, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuneaton Town than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nuneaton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Needham Market - Nuneaton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Needham won 1.

Recent matches Needham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nuneaton Town is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nuneaton Town could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Needham is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Needham won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Needham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Needham Market
English Southern League Central Division
28.10.23	Royston Town - Needham Market	0:2 ✺
24.10.23	Stamford - Needham Market	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
17.10.23	Needham Market - York City	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	York City - Needham Market	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Needham Market - Cray Wanderers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLTL
- Nuneaton Town
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Nuneaton Town - Hyde United	2:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
24.10.23	Nuneaton Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	Redditch United - Nuneaton Town	0:2 ✺
14.10.23	Nuneaton Town - Barwell	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Stratford Town - Nuneaton Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
25.03.23	Needham Market - Nuneaton Town	1:1
25.10.22	Nuneaton Town - Needham Market	1:1
02.04.22	Needham Market - Nuneaton Town	1:2
16.11.21	Nuneaton Town - Needham Market	1:2
18.01.20	Needham Market - Nuneaton Town	1:3
24.08.19	Nuneaton Town - Needham Market	1:0

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