Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Neftekhimik Stadium (Nizhnekamsk)

Referee: Kukulyak E. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru


	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk		Rostov

	1	X	2
	3.51	3.31	2.1
	3.73	3.47	2.16	Watch
	3.4	3.1	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↓ (4.62)	3.29 ↓ (3.59)	2.07 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
26.4%

Draw
28.4%

Rostov
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

27.3%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

27%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk's performance.

Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rostov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rostov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rostov Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rostov will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Prisyazhnenko N. (G) 70. Bober I. 14. Mashukov I. 15. Nikitin A. 6. Rodin D. 90. Shiltsov K. 12. Shiryaev M. 2. Sitdikov M. 11. Sukhomlinov D. 65. Tolstopyatov N. 17. Valiakhmetov E.	71. Odoevski D. (G) 19. Bayramyan K. 78. Chistyakov D. 69. Golenkov E. 67. Ignatov G. 62. Komarov I. 87. Langovich A. 4. Melekhin V. 5. Prokhin D. 22. Semenchuk D. 58. Shantaliy D.
Substitutes
27. Budylin A. 7. Dzhamilov S. 97. Filipovskiy M. 1. Golubev A. (G) 24. Kakhidze A. 51. Kashintsev T. (G) 10. Kokoev D. 74. Kuchugura D. 9. Magomedov R. 23. Mikhaylov D. 5. Musalov M. 75. Shadrintsev D.	17. Ajasa I. M. 13. Hankic H. (G) 51. Koltakov A. 8. Mironov A. 7. Ronaldo 3. Sako O. 91. Shamonin A. 10. Shchetinin K. 99. Suleymanov T. 40. Vakhania I. 1. Yatimov R. (G) 57. Zhbanov I.
Coaches
Novikov K.	Alba J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Komarov I. ⚽, Semenchuk D. (A),
36', 0 - 2, Komarov I. ⚽, Semenchuk D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Shiltsov K. ↓, Kakhidze A. ↑,
46', Tolstopyatov N. ↓, Kokoev D. ↑,
46', 1 - 2, Mashukov I. ⚽,
49', 1 - 3, Chistyakov D. ⚽, Komarov I. (A),
51', Shiryaev M. 🟨,
62', Semenchuk D. ↓, Sako O. ↑,
62', Golenkov E. ↓, Suleymanov T. ↑,
62', Bayramyan K. ↓, Shamonin A. ↑,
63', Bober I. ↓, Kuchugura D. ↑,
63', Sukhomlinov D. ↓, Magomedov R. ↑,
65', Sako O. 🟨,
80', Nikitin A. ↓, Mikhaylov D. ↑,
84', Langovich A. ↓, Vakhania I. ↑,
89', Komarov I. ↓, Ajasa I. M. ↑,

Preview

Neftekhimik is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rostov has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Neftekhimik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rostov is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian FNL
22.11.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:4 ✺
15.11.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Ural	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Rodina Moscow - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - SKA Khabarovsk	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
30.10.25	Ufa - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WWTTW
- FC Rostov
Russian Premier League
23.11.25	Krylya Sovetov - Rostov	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Sochi - Rostov	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Rostov - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Rostov - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
22.10.25	Rostov - Nizhny Novgorod	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLTW

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