Match Info

FNL - Round 18

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Arena Khimki (Khimki)

Referee: Prokopov A. (Rus)


	Rodina Moscow		Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.49	5.6
	1.69	3.59	5.66	Watch
	1.55	3.65	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.55)	3.58 ↓ (3.65)	5.67 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow
57.1%

Draw
26.3%

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

25.1%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

24.4%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Rodina Moscow - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Rodina (3.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Volkov S. (G) 88. Sokol A. 26. Meshchaninov A. 55. Krizan M. 3. Goglichidze L. 38. Musaev L. 24. Biryukov A. 9. Maksimenko A. 10. Reyna Y. 20. Kontsevoy A. 99. Timoshenko I.	1. Golubev A. (G) 5. Musalov M. 12. Shiryaev M. 65. Tolstopyatov N. 2. Sitdikov M. 8. Kantaria G. 10. Kokoev D. 70. Bober I. 90. Shiltsov K. 15. Nikitin A. 9. Magomedov R.
Substitutes
18. Abdusalamov M. 1. Aydarov S. (G) 22. Beskibalniy A. 80. Bessmertniy S. 49. Dyatlov I. 5. Egorychev A. 7. Gueye P. 77. Koryan A. 52. Kuzmichev I. 58. Ladokha D. (G) 19. Tikhonov D. 23. Ushatov K.	7. Dzhamilov S. 24. Kakhidze A. 51. Kashintsev T. (G) 74. Kuchugura D. 14. Mashukov I. 23. Mikhaylov D. 6. Rodin D. 11. Sukhomlinov D. 17. Valiakhmetov E.
Coaches
Diaz J.	Novikov K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Musalov M. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Maksimenko A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kokoev D. ↓, Sukhomlinov D. ↑,
46', Musalov M. ↓, Valiakhmetov E. ↑,
48', Musaev L. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Magomedov R. ⚽,
56', Timoshenko I. ↓, Koryan A. ↑,
57', Biryukov A. ↓, Bessmertniy S. ↑,
67', Sokol A. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
69', Shiltsov K. ↓, Kuchugura D. ↑,
83', Magomedov R. ↓, Dzhamilov S. ↑,
84', Kantaria G. ↓, Rodin D. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 3.

Rodina is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Neftekhimik has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rodina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Neftekhimik has had a series of away games.

In this match, Rodina is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 2.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Rodina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL
02.11.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Rodina Moscow	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Rodina Moscow - Rotor	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	KAMAZ - Rodina Moscow	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
15.10.25	Rodina Moscow - Chelyabinsk	0:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
11.10.25	Rodina Moscow - SKA Khabarovsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTWLW
- FC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian FNL
03.11.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - SKA Khabarovsk	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
30.10.25	Ufa - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
25.10.25	Ufa - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:2 ✺
20.10.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
15.10.25	Shinnik - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
03.09.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow	1:5
01.12.24	Rodina Moscow - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:3
29.09.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow	2:1
25.05.24	Rodina Moscow - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:0
27.08.23	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow	1:4
13.05.23	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow	1:5
23.10.22	Rodina Moscow - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:2

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