Match Info

FNL - Round 20

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Chayka Central Stadium (Peschanokopskoye)

Referee: Silantyev K. (Rus)


	Chayka Peschanokopskoye		Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.25	1.94
	3.21	3.16	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↓ (4.39)	3.21 ↓ (3.28)	2.11 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chayka Peschanokopskoye
25.4%

Draw
29.6%

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

28.9%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

29.3%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chayka Peschanokopskoye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chayka Peschanokopskoye than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
58. Fadeev S. (G) 12. Ivannikov D. 27. Krutovskikh A. 6. Petin Y. 39. Maslov P. (C) 8. Rosputko O. 14. Kaptilovich D. 7. Gulyaev E. 10. Dzhebov A. 83. Ishchenko N. 18. Sokolov A.	1. Golubev A. (G) 24. Kakhidze A. 2. Sitdikov M. (C) 5. Musalov M. 65. Tolstopyatov N. 6. Rodin D. 10. Kokoev D. 90. Shiltsov K. 15. Nikitin A. 70. Bober I. 9. Magomedov R.
Substitutes
20. Biblik S. 89. Chervyakov R. 87. Filev A. 55. Gapeev V. 95. Gerdt A. 69. Gurylev A. 19. Ivanov I. 24. Pridava N. 15. Rogochiy B. 96. Sorochinskiy I. (G) 38. Topinka S. 22. Uzhgin M.	27. Budylin A. 7. Dzhamilov S. 51. Kashintsev T. (G) 74. Kuchugura D. 14. Mashukov I. 23. Mikhaylov D. 11. Sukhomlinov D. 17. Valiakhmetov E.
Coaches
Kombarov D.	Novikov K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Ivannikov D. 🟨,
6', Ivannikov D. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Bober I. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
48', 0 - 2, Nikitin A. ⚽,
53', Rodin D. ↓, Sukhomlinov D. ↑,
61', Kakhidze A. 🟨,
67', Dzhebov A. ↓, Biblik S. ↑,
67', Gulyaev E. ↓, Filev A. ↑,
67', Kaptilovich D. ↓, Pridava N. ↑,
70', 0 - 3, Magomedov R. ⚽,
71', 1 - 3, Biblik S. ⚽,
75', Rosputko O. 🟨,
82', 1 - 4, Shiltsov K. ⚽,
83', Rosputko O. ↓, Topinka S. ↑,
84', 2 - 4, Filev A. ⚽,
85', Musalov M. ↓, Valiakhmetov E. ↑,
86', Nikitin A. ↓, Dzhamilov S. ↑,
86', Bober I. ↓, Kuchugura D. ↑,
88', Ishchenko N. ↓, Chervyakov R. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peschanokopskoye won 3.

Peschanokopskoye is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Neftekhimik's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Neftekhimik is the team to beat.

We predict that Neftekhimik will win today's game, with odds of 1.99.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Peschanokopskoye won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Peschanokopskoye won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Russian FNL
16.11.25	Shinnik - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Arsenal Tula - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - KAMAZ	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Torpedo Moscow - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	3:2 ✺
20.10.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Ural	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian FNL
15.11.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Ural	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Rodina Moscow - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - SKA Khabarovsk	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
30.10.25	Ufa - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
25.10.25	Ufa - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
11.10.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:3
05.04.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:1
28.07.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	4:0
Club Friendly
02.02.22	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:1
Russian FNL
15.05.21	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0
01.08.20	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:1
05.10.19	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:2

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