Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 33

Date: 20 May 2024, Monday

Location: Neftekhimik Stadium (Nizhnekamsk)

Referee: Zhabchenko A. (Ukr)


	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk		Leningradets

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.19	3
	2.39	3.19	3
	2.44	3.04	3.06	Watch
	2.22	3.05	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.15)	3.12 ↓ (3.28)	3.04 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
39.5%

Draw
29.9%

Leningradets
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28.7%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

28.1%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Leningradets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leningradets than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Leningradets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Eshchenko S. (G) 4. Berdnikov A. 99. Emelyanov D. 15. Kokoev D. 91. Magomedov R. 9. Morozov K. 14. Pershin M. 73. Petrov M. 3. Sagutkin D. 16. Shorkin M. 2. Sitdikov M.	16. Karabashev N. (G) 7. Apekov R. 77. Bachinski M. 10. Gorelishvili M. 44. Kalugin N. 17. Kaptilov V. 4. Kudryavtsev R. 9. Rozmanov N. 21. Shepelev V. 18. Sukhanov E. 33. Yakovlev A.
Substitutes
29. Denisov R. 7. Dzhamilov S. 21. Galiulin V. 1. Golubev A. (G) 24. Kakhidze A. 11. Kotik A. 90. Shiltsov K.	47. Kazakov R. 97. Khityaev A. 30. Morozov N. 2. Nikolaev S. 1. Smirnov E. (G) 73. Sokolov D. 20. Volkov V. 34. Vorontsov I. 90. Zhironkin V.
Coaches
Novikov K.	Astafyev M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Karabashev N. (Own goal),
25', 1 - 1, Apekov R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kudryavtsev R. ↓, Khityaev A. ↑,
58', Pershin M. ↓, Dzhamilov S. ↑,
58', Petrov M. ↓, Galiulin V. ↑,
58', Kokoev D. ↓, Shiltsov K. ↑,
66', Bachinski M. ↓, Zhironkin V. ↑,
66', Kaptilov V. ↓, Volkov V. ↑,
66', Apekov R. ↓, Morozov N. ↑,
70', Shepelev V. ↓, Kazakov R. ↑,
76', Sitdikov M. 🟨,
80', Morozov K. ↓, Denisov R. ↑,
80', Sitdikov M. ↓, Kakhidze A. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Zhironkin V. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Neftekhimik is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Leningradets is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Neftekhimik will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Neftekhimik won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian FNL
16.05.24	Volgar Astrakhan - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Arsenal Tula - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:0 ✺
28.04.24	Kuban Krasnodar - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:1 ✺
24.04.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Shinnik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLTTL
- FK Leningradets
Russian FNL
16.05.24	Leningradets - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
12.05.24	Leningradets - Khimki	1:3 ✺
05.05.24	Kuban Krasnodar - Leningradets	0:2 ✺
28.04.24	Leningradets - SKA Khabarovsk	0:1 ✺
24.04.24	Akron Tolyatti - Leningradets	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
22.10.23	Leningradets - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:2

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