Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 18

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: King Khalid Sports City (Tabuk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Startimes Sports Life
Asia	JACO Middle East, SPOTV Asia
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	BandSports
China	QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 6
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	SPOTV, Vidio
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Solo Calcio
Malaysia	Astro Go
Mongolia	SPOTV
Philippines	SPOTV
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 3
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah
South-korea	SPOTV
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	SPOTV, True ID, True Premier Football 4
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, Fox
Vietnam	SPOTV


	Neom		Al-Ahli Jeddah

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.9	1.65
	4.35	3.85	1.7
	4.77	3.94	1.72
	4.54	4.1	1.67	Watch
	4	3.6	1.65
	4.72	4.16	1.73	Watch
	4.75	4	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↑ (3.22)	3.94 ↑ (3.68)	1.68 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neom
20.8%

Draw
23.7%

Al-Ahli Jeddah
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

25.4%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

24.6%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Neom's form might have worsened.

Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ahli Jeddah's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neom than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neom, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Ahli Jeddah, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10%	90%

Neom - Al Ahli Jeddah Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Al-Ahli (1.85) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Ahli Jeddah will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Ahli Jeddah will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 10 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Maximiano L. (G) 4. Al Dawsari K. 26. Hegazy A. 44. Zeze N. 25. Abdi F. 7. Al Faraj S. (C) 72. Kone A. 22. Bouabre S. 2. Al Burayk M. 91. Lacazette A. 19. Rodriguez L.	16. Mendy E. (C) 27. Majrashi A. 46. Hamidou R. 3. Ibanez 2. Al Hawsawi Z. 7. Mahrez R. 79. Kessie F. 30. Al Johani Z. 13. Galeno 10. Millot E. 17. Toney I.
Substitutes
71. Abdu A. 11. Al Ali H. 93. Al Saluli A. 10. Benrahma S. 95. Fallatah A. 27. Hawsawi I. 18. Hejji A. 1. Malayekah M. (G) 24. Noor A.	29. Abdulrahman M. 47. Abu Al Shamat S. 9. Al Buraikan F. 14. Al Muwallad E. 1. Al Sanbi A. (G) 26. Al Zubaidi Y. 60. Madani Y. 20. Matheus Goncalves 5. Sulaiman M.
Coaches
Galtier C.	Jaissle M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Zeze N. 🟨,
45+1', Kessie F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
55', 0 - 1, Toney I. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Al Dawsari K. 🟥,
64', 0 - 2, Mahrez R. ⚽, Toney I. (A),
67', 0 - 3, Millot E. ⚽, Kessie F. (A),
68', Al Faraj S. 🟨,
72', Lacazette A. ↓, Benrahma S. ↑,
72', Al Faraj S. ↓, Hejji A. ↑,
72', Millot E. ↓, Matheus Goncalves ↑,
73', Toney I. ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
80', Al Burayk M. ↓, Hawsawi I. ↑,
81', Bouabre S. ↓, Noor A. ↑,
81', Hegazy A. ↓, Al Saluli A. ↑,
82', Al Hawsawi Z. 🟨,
83', Al Hawsawi Z. ↓, Sulaiman M. ↑,
84', Galeno ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
89', Majrashi A. 🟨,
90', Kessie F. ↓, Al Muwallad E. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

Neom is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Ahli is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Al-Ahli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Ahli is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neom won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Neom SC	8	5	1	2	14:7	7	16
6	Al Ahli SC	8	5	0	3	20:10	10	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neom SC
Saudi Professional League
21.01.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Neom	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Neom - Al-Hilal	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Neom	3:2 ✺
10.01.26	Neom - Al Fateh	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Al Hazem - Neom	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLLW
- Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Professional League
20.01.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Khaleej	4:1 ✺
17.01.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Taawoun	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:1 ✺
02.01.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
28.08.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Neom	1:0

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