Match Info

I Lyga - Round 20

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Neptūnas		Babrungas Plungė

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.10	2.25
	2.9	3	2.25
	2.97	3.02	2.25
	2.98	3.1	2.3	Watch
	2.9	2.95	2.2
	2.89	3.51	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.58)	3.11 ↓ (3.13)	2.25 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas
30.9%

Draw
28.9%

Babrungas Plungė
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

28.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

29.9%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Babrungas Plungė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neptūnas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Babrungas Plungė than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Babrungas Plungė, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Neptūnas - Babrungas Plungė Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
10', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
74', 0 - 3, ⚽,
90+2', 🟥,
90+2', (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ TOPLYGA (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas won 0.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Neptūnas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Babrungas	25	19	4	2	43:11	32	61
4	Neptunas	25	14	2	9	33:30	3	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Neptūnas Klaipėda
Lithuanian Division 2
08.08.26	Tauras Tauragė - Neptūnas	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Garliava - Neptūnas	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Neptūnas - FA Šiauliai B	2:1 ✺
20.07.26	Transinvest 2 - Neptūnas	2:2 ✺
27.06.26	Dainava Alytus - Neptūnas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWTL
- Babrungas Plungė
Lithuanian Division 2
08.08.26	Dainava Alytus - Babrungas Plungė	2:1 ✺
03.08.26	Transinvest 2 - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Babrungas Plungė - Ekranas	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Babrungas Plungė	0:2 ✺
27.06.26	FA Šiauliai B - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
04.04.26	Babrungas Plungė - Neptūnas	1:0
22.08.25	Neptūnas - Babrungas Plungė	0:0
25.04.25	Babrungas Plungė - Neptūnas	1:1
28.09.24	Babrungas Plungė - Neptūnas	3:0
10.05.24	Neptūnas - Babrungas Plungė	0:1
07.10.23	Neptūnas - Babrungas Plungė	5:0
19.05.23	Babrungas Plungė - Neptūnas	2:2

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