Match Info

Lithuanian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Klaipedosmiesto Centrinis (Klaipeda)


	Neptūnas		Kauno Žalgiris

	1	X	2
	6	3.9	1.48	Watch
	6.7	3.99	1.45	Watch
	7.9	3.94	1.39	Watch
	6	3.9	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.65 ↑ (5.05)	3.93 ↑ (3.69)	1.45 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas
13.7%

Draw
23.2%

Kauno Žalgiris
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

24.8%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

24.4%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Kauno Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kauno Žalgiris's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kauno Žalgiris, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Kauno Žalgiris (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Extra Time (0 - 1)
112', 0 - 1, Vosylius N. ⚽,

Preview

Neptūnas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Kauno Žalgiris is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kauno Žalgiris could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.

In this match, Kauno Žalgiris is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Neptūnas Klaipėda
Lithuanian Division 2
25.04.25	Babrungas Plungė - Neptūnas	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	Neptūnas - BE1 NFA Kaunas	3:0 ✺
05.04.25	Transinvest - Neptūnas	3:0 ✺
29.03.25	Neptūnas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Minija Kretinga - Neptūnas	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWLWW
- FK Kauno Žalgiris
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
27.04.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Panevėžys - Kauno Žalgiris	0:2 ✺
16.04.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWTT

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