The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New Mexico United 36.1%
Draw 27.4%
Oakland Roots 36.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.8%
29.7%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32%
30.4%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Oakland Roots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
New Mexico United - Oakland Roots Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. New Mexico will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Oakland Roots will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Shakes K. (G) 27. Howell M. 4. Keller K. 2. Hamalainen N. 3. Gloster C. 15. Jabang O. 19. Bailey Z. 11. Nava C. 9. Rennicks J. 5. Harris D. 10. Hurst G. (C)
1. McIntosh K. (G) 17. Tingey K. 34. Edwards M. 15. Hackshaw N. 23. Bravo J. 11. de Vicente J. 21. Lepley T. 6. Byaruhanga B. 4. McCabe T. (C) 7. Prentice W. 77. Bettache F.
Substitutes
29. Archimede L. 56. Arozarena R. (G) 24. Blackett T. 48. Gilchrist G. 79. Hofmann K. 31. Melto Quiah J. 21. Noel V. 28. Wilkerson C. 6. Zelalem G.
12. Gibson T. 19. Kiil J. 42. Martinez Sorrosa E. 59. Rosic L. 33. Spiegel R. (G) 51. Wachs C. 9. Wilson P.
Coaches
Sanchez D.
Martin R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Nava C. ⚽, Hamalainen N. (A),
9', Jabang O. 🟨,
21', Tingey K. 🟨,
27', McIntosh K. ↓, Spiegel R. ↑,
36', Keller K. 🟨,
41', 2 - 0, Bailey Z. ⚽, Harris D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bettache F. ↓, Wilson P. ↑,
46', Bravo J. ↓, Gibson T. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Wilson P. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Rennicks J. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
68', Nava C. ↓, Noel V. ↑,
68', Harris D. ↓, Melto Quiah J. ↑,
83', McCabe T. 🟨,
86', Tingey K. ↓, Kiil J. ↑,
87', Hurst G. ↓, Blackett T. ↑,
90+2', Gloster C. ↓, Wilkerson C. ↑,
90+4', Howell M. 🟨,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 2.
New Mexico is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Oakland Roots's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
New Mexico may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).
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Shakes K. (G) 
Howell M. 
Hamalainen N. 
Bailey Z. 
Harris D. 
Hurst G. (C) 
Hackshaw N. 
de Vicente J. 
Byaruhanga B. 
Bettache F. 
Archimede L. 
Arozarena R. (G) 
Melto Quiah J. 
Noel V. 
Spiegel R. (G) 
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