Match Info

USA: US Open Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 May 2024, Tuesday

Location: Belson Stadium (New York, NY)


	New York City II		New Mexico United

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	1.85	Watch
	3.3	3.5	1.85
	3.5	3.6	1.95
	3.72	3.55	1.94
	3.72	3.48	1.94
	3	3.7	2
	3.61	3.74	1.92	Watch
	3.6	3.65	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.04)	3.6 ↑ (3.54)	1.92 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York City II
26.4%

Draw
25.6%

New Mexico United
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

25.9%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

25.5%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York City II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

New York City II - New Mexico United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. New York City II will win (votes: 1 - 25%). New Mexico will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Romero T. (G) 38. Baiera A. 42. Elias P. 20. Arroyave J. 68. Tiao C. 31. Owusu S. 12. Tanasijevic S. 29. Carrizo M. 99. Calheira T. 77. Jimenez J. 7. Mijatovic J.	1. Tambakis A. (C) 3. Gloster C. 4. Herbert A. 12. Maples T. 27. Flanagan A. 19. Bailey Z. 25. Bruce D. 11. Akale M. 10. Micaletto M. 91. Houssou N. 26. Mohamed A.
Substitutes
83. Azzam Ruiz C. 37. Bednarsky S. 47. Haxhari K. 63. Leong M. 75. Meyer W. (G) 70. Rozhansky J. 32. Shore J.	15. Astorga A. 47. DuBois J. 5. Harris D. 8. Hernandez D. 17. Hurst G. 13. Shakes K. (G) 33. Swartz H.
Coaches
Pilkington M.	Quill E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Tanasijevic S. 🟨,
20', Houssou N. 🟨,
31', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', 0 - 1, Flanagan A. ⚽, Micaletto M. (A),
55', Micaletto M. 🟨,
55', Owusu S. 🟥,
64', Carrizo M. ↓, Rozhansky J. ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Maples T. ⚽, Micaletto M. (A),
75', Gloster C. ↓, Astorga A. ↑,
75', Flanagan A. ↓, Swartz H. ↑,
75', Micaletto M. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
80', Rozhansky J. 🟨,
81', Elias P. ↓, Haxhari K. ↑,
83', Bruce D. ↓, Hurst G. ↑,
86', 0 - 3, Herbert A. ⚽,
87', Akale M. ↓, DuBois J. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches New York City II is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

New Mexico is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

New Mexico will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York City II
MLS Next Pro
13.05.24	Chicago Fire II - New York City II	2:4 ✺
US Open Cup
08.05.24	New York City II - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:0 ✺
MLS Next Pro
03.05.24	Atlanta United II - New York City II	1:0 penalties ✺
28.04.24	New York City II - Crown Legacy	1:3 ✺
21.04.24	Columbus Crew 2 - New York City II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWLLW
- New Mexico United
USL Championship
11.05.24	New Mexico United - Oakland Roots	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
08.05.24	New Mexico United - Real Salt Lake	4:2 ✺
USL Championship
04.05.24	Las Vegas Lights - New Mexico United	1:2 ✺
27.04.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - New Mexico United	3:0 ✺
20.04.24	North Carolina - New Mexico United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWWLW

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