Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Riccardo Silva Stadium (Miami, FL)

Referee: Calume A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, KASY TV
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+


	Miami		New Mexico United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4	3.6	1.66
	4.3	3.75	1.72
	4.5	3.85	1.71	Watch
	4.74	3.88	1.63	Watch
	4.3	3.75	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↓ (13.07)	3.77 ↓ (6.8)	1.69 ↑ (1.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

Watch this match and USL Championship with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: MyNetworkTV (KASY – Albuquerque, NM)

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Current Win Probability

Miami
21.1%

Draw
24.4%

New Mexico United
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

7.1%

13.6%

79.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miami's performance.

New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Mexico United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Miami - New Mexico United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Hamid B. (G) 27. Acloque A. 2. Ricketts J. 13. Knutson D. 3. Mitrano A. 8. Romero M. 21. Akinyode B. 7. Gavilanes A. 30. Vazquez C. 9. Bonfiglio F. 26. Melano L.	1. Tambakis A. (G) 16. Seymore W. 12. Maples T. 22. Ryden K. (C) 24. Lindsey J. 6. Zelalem G. 15. Jabang O. 8. Vargas M. 9. Luiz Fernando 17. Hurst G. 10. Gaines M.
Substitutes
34. Arana V. 35. Bent B. 22. Celeste F. 16. Diaz G. 33. Lucas DePaula 17. Rivera R. 31. Rodriguez F. (G) 11. Veron D. 18. Zarate T.	11. Akale M. 23. Amang T. 25. Bruce D. 4. Herbert A. 7. Rivas S. 13. Shakes K. (G)
Coaches
Maddoni G.	Sanchez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Melano L. 🟨,
45+3', Vargas M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Acloque A. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
59', Gaines M. ↓, Akale M. ↑,
66', Melano L. ↓, Rivera R. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Luiz Fernando ⚽, Vargas M. (A),
75', Mitrano A. ↓, Bent B. ↑,
75', Vazquez C. ↓, Veron D. ↑,
75', Gavilanes A. ↓, Zarate T. ↑,
77', Vargas M. ↓, Rivas S. ↑,
90', Hurst G. ↓, Bruce D. ↑,
90', Luiz Fernando ↓, Herbert A. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Miami could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match New Mexico is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Miami won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Miami won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami FC
USL Championship
22.03.25	Miami - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:2 ✺
US Open Cup
18.03.25	Miami - Naples United	4:1 ✺
USL Championship
15.03.25	Miami - Indy Eleven	1:3 ✺
08.03.25	Miami - Detroit City	0:2 ✺
26.10.24	Rhode Island - Miami	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL
- New Mexico United
USL Championship
22.03.25	New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Las Vegas Lights - New Mexico United	2:3 ✺
08.03.25	Sacramento Republic - New Mexico United	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	New Mexico United - Las Vegas Lights	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
06.09.24	New Mexico United - Miami	1:0
18.03.23	Miami - New Mexico United	0:1
06.08.22	New Mexico United - Miami	0:3

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