The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York City 59.4%
Draw 22.2%
CF Montréal 18.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.8%
22.7%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.9%
21.2%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CF Montréal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 12th and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 1.
Recent results have been tough for NY City (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Montreal has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Montreal may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, NY City has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, NY City is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, NY City has recorded 11 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:13 (averaging 1.4:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for NY City against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 16:4 goals (averaging 1.8:0.4 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
CF Montréal - the odds 5 are the expected chance of winning is 18.57%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
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