Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Yankee Stadium (New York)

Referee: Bazakos F. (Usa)


	New York City		FC Dallas

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.75
	1.92	3.45	3.95
	1.94	3.56	4.27
	1.95	3.3	4	Watch
	1.9	3.54	4.05	Watch
	1.94	3.5	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.84)	3.46 ↓ (3.65)	3.95 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York City
48.8%

Draw
27.3%

FC Dallas
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

25.6%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

25%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

FC Dallas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

New York City - FC Dallas Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Dallas will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

NY City has the most likely position - 2 (12.76%), project points - 54, currently - 12, a good chance of playoffs (85%), a very small chance of supporters shield (5%), a small chance of win league (7%).

Dallas has the most likely position - 3 (12.7%), project points - 50, currently - 14, a good chance of playoffs (82%), a very small chance of supporters shield (2%), a very small chance of win league (4%).

This event has quality 46, small importance 14, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches NY City won 2.

Recent matches NY City is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dallas is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match NY City is a favorite.

There will not play in Dallas: Scott T. (Injury) Velasco A. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches NY City won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-10.

Including matches at home between the teams NY City won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York City FC
MLS
15.04.23	New York City - Nashville SC	2:1 ✺
08.04.23	New York City - Atlanta United	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	New England Revolution - New York City	1:1 ✺
25.03.23	Houston Dynamo - New York City	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	New York City - DC United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTTLW
- FC Dallas
MLS
15.04.23	FC Dallas - Real Salt Lake	2:1 ✺
08.04.23	Inter Miami - FC Dallas	0:1 ✺
01.04.23	FC Dallas - Portland Timbers	1:1 ✺
25.03.23	Los Angeles - FC Dallas	2:1 ✺
18.03.23	FC Dallas - Sporting Kansas City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
13.07.22	FC Dallas - New York City	0:1
14.09.21	New York City - FC Dallas	3:3
22.09.19	FC Dallas - New York City	1:1
29.04.18	New York City - FC Dallas	3:1
14.05.17	FC Dallas - New York City	1:1
17.09.16	New York City - FC Dallas	2:2
12.09.15	FC Dallas - New York City	2:1

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