Match Info

USL League One

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hinchliffe Stadium (Paterson, NJ) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	20:00	Disney+
Brazil	20:00	Disney+
Canada	19:00	fubo Sports Network
Chile	20:00	Disney+
Colombia	18:00	Disney+
Mexico	17:00	Disney+
Peru	18:00	Disney+
Uruguay	20:00	Disney+
Usa	19:00	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	19:00	Disney+


	New York Cosmos		Spokane Velocity

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	3.50	2.00
	2.88	3.35	2.10
	3.23	3.60	2.06
	2.99	3.59	2.19	Watch
	2.95	3.35	2.18
	3.12	3.74	2.08	Watch
	3.05	3.55	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (4.1)	3.53 ↓ (3.65)	2.09 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Cosmos
30.2%

Draw
25.9%

Spokane Velocity
43.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.8%

24.5%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

24.1%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Cosmos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York Cosmos's performance.

Spokane Velocity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spokane Velocity might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Cosmos than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York Cosmos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spokane Velocity than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spokane Velocity could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

New York Cosmos - Spokane Velocity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chan D. (G) 3. Acosta S. 25. Chavez J. 23. Materazzi D. 5. Cabrera N. 7. Ljucovic F. 15. Ramos O. 19. Jawneh L. 8. Spengler A. 18. Koffi C. 13. Guenzatti S. (C)	1. Lewis S. (G) 13. Opara L. 12. Miller C. 3. Spielman N. 33. Mensah M. 77. Lewis A. 34. Elmasnaouy A. 11. John-Brown S. 8. Vinyals N. 18. Waldeck D. (C) 9. Brett N.
Substitutes
4. Chilaka M. 17. Galazzini D. 26. Garcia J. (G) 20. Mendonca N. 24. Noecker W. 33. Sidoel D. 11. Zielonka N.	17. Alexandre M. 4. Fitch S. 7. Gallardo J. 10. Gil L. 5. Margvelashvili G. 23. Merancio C. (G) 42. Meredith B.
Coaches
Corti D.	Veidman L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Koffi C. ⚽, Spengler A. (A),
31', Materazzi D. 🟨,
39', Jawneh L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
56', Chan D. 🟨,
56', Ramos O. 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Brett N. (Penalty Awarded),
59', 2 - 1, Jawneh L. ⚽, Spengler A. (A),
62', Vinyals N. ↓, Gil L. ↑,
64', Waldeck D. ↓, Alexandre M. ↑,
64', Materazzi D. ↓, Chilaka M. ↑,
69', 2 - 2, Lewis A. ⚽, Gil L. (A),
77', Spielman N. 🟨,
80', Opara L. ↓, Fitch S. ↑,
80', Brett N. ↓, Gallardo J. ↑,
80', Jawneh L. ↓, Mendonca N. ↑,
83', 3 - 2, Ramos O. ⚽,
85', Gallardo J. 🟨,
89', Elmasnaouy A. ↓, Meredith B. ↑,
90+1', Acosta S. ↓, Noecker W. ↑,
90+1', Koffi C. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
90+10', 3 - 3, John-Brown S. ⚽, Gallardo J. (A),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

New York Cosmos has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Spokane is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Spokane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Spokane is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, New York Cosmos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Spokane Velocity	32	16	6	10	50:44	6	54
16	New York Cosmos	32	7	6	19	40:66	-26	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Cosmos
USL League One
17.10.26	New York Cosmos - One Knoxville	0:3 ✺
10.10.26	Charlotte Independence - New York Cosmos	3:0 ✺
03.10.26	Naples - New York Cosmos	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	New York Cosmos - Richmond Kickers	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	New York Cosmos - Westchester SC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL
- Spokane Velocity
USL League One
17.10.26	Spokane Velocity - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:0 ✺
14.10.26	Greenville Triumph - Spokane Velocity	4:3 ✺
11.10.26	One Knoxville - Spokane Velocity	0:2 ✺
03.10.26	Spokane Velocity - Portland Hearts of Pine	3:3 ✺
30.09.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Spokane Velocity	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
21.03.26	Spokane Velocity - New York Cosmos	3:1

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