Match Info

USL League One

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Paladin Stadium (Greenville, SC) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	20:00	Disney+
Brazil	20:00	Disney+
Chile	20:00	Disney+
Colombia	18:00	Disney+
Mexico	17:00	Disney+
Peru	18:00	Disney+
Uruguay	20:00	Disney+
Venezuela	19:00	Disney+


	Greenville Triumph		Spokane Velocity

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.10	3.30	2.87
	2.28	3.00	2.90
	2.09	3.71	3.02
	2.73	3.52	2.39	Watch
	2.65	3.40	2.35
	2.17	3.71	2.96	Watch
	2.10	3.50	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.56)	3.45 ↑ (3.22)	2.76 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greenville Triumph
39.9%

Draw
26.7%

Spokane Velocity
33.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.3%

28%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

28%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greenville Triumph has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Spokane Velocity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spokane Velocity than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Greenville Triumph - Spokane Velocity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Torman S. (G) 15. Patti A. 4. Sims T. 5. Fricke B. (C) 6. Agyaakwah I. 20. Villanueva A. 9. Robles R. 19. Liadi A. 8. Herrera C. 27. Nour M. 17. Larsen B.	23. Merancio C. (G) 6. Fernandez C. 4. Fitch S. 3. Spielman N. 20. Covi I. 34. Elmasnaouy A. 10. Gil L. 7. Gallardo J. 8. Vinyals N. 18. Waldeck D. 17. Alexandre M. (C)
Substitutes
77. Benton D. 7. Boyce D. 25. Castro L. 18. Evans C. 13. Knight A. (G) 12. Lee E. 29. Polo B. 23. White E.	9. Brett N. 11. John-Brown S. 77. Lewis A. 1. Lewis S. (G) 33. Mensah M. 12. Miller C. 13. Opara L.
Coaches
Tyson J.	Veidman L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Agyaakwah I. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Spielman N. (Own goal),
31', 2 - 1, Elmasnaouy A. ⚽, Waldeck D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', 3 - 1, Patti A. ⚽, Nour M. (A),
52', Sims T. 🟨,
60', Gallardo J. ↓, John-Brown S. ↑,
60', Vinyals N. ↓, Brett N. ↑,
60', Covi I. ↓, Miller C. ↑,
60', Fernandez C. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
62', Sims T. ↓, Lee E. ↑,
62', Larsen B. ↓, Benton D. ↑,
72', 3 - 2, Gil L. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Robles R. ↓, Boyce D. ↑,
75', Miller C. 🟨,
76', 4 - 2, Boyce D. ⚽, Villanueva A. (A),
77', Alexandre M. ↓, Mensah M. ↑,
86', Herrera C. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
86', Agyaakwah I. ↓, White E. ↑,
87', 4 - 3, Elmasnaouy A. ⚽, Fitch S. (A),
90+7', Elmasnaouy A. 🟨,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 16th and 6th in the Promotion - USL League One Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

Greenville has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Spokane shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Spokane may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Greenville has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:4 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Spokane Velocity	32	16	6	10	50:44	6	54
15	Greenville	32	8	6	18	37:60	-23	30

Last Results with these Odds

Greenville Triumph - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.28%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greenville Triumph
USL League One
10.10.26	AV Alta - Greenville Triumph	2:2 ✺
03.10.26	Boise - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Greenville Triumph - Union Omaha	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Sarasota Paradise - Greenville Triumph	6:0 ✺
16.09.26	Greenville Triumph - Corpus Christi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL
- Spokane Velocity
USL League One
11.10.26	One Knoxville - Spokane Velocity	0:2 ✺
03.10.26	Spokane Velocity - Portland Hearts of Pine	3:3 ✺
30.09.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Spokane Velocity	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Forward Madison - Spokane Velocity	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Spokane Velocity - Boise	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
22.08.26	Spokane Velocity - Greenville Triumph	2:1
27.09.25	Spokane Velocity - Greenville Triumph	0:1
12.10.24	Spokane Velocity - Greenville Triumph	2:3
USL Cup
25.05.24	Spokane Velocity - Greenville Triumph	0:1 penalties

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