Match Info

USL League One

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Werner Park (Papillion, NE)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Union Omaha		Portland Hearts of Pine

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.6	3.7	4.65
	1.61	3.92	4.67
	1.63	4.05	4.77	Watch
	1.6	3.5	4.6
	1.59	3.84	4.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.6)	3.8 ↑ (3.78)	4.68 ↓ (4.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Union Omaha
56.6%

Draw
23.9%

Portland Hearts of Pine
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

24.1%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

23.5%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Omaha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Portland Hearts of Pine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (-1%)

Union Omaha - Portland Hearts of Pine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Nuhu R. (G) 14. Kallman B. 4. Owusu S. 27. Jiba R. 23. Boudadi Y. 16. Wootton L. 6. Guediri S. 11. Borczak D. 21. Gomez A. 9. Botello Faz P. 22. Tekiela K.	1. Morse H. (G) 6. Mohamed M. 66. Green K. 22. Evans B. 99. Drack J. 21. Georgallides K. 5. Lopez M. (C) 18. Barbosa D. 35. Huck T. 14. Washington T. 10. Wright O.
Substitutes
28. Caceres E. 17. Gutierrez D. 99. Jensen C. (G) 19. Lawrence C. 3. Malone B. 5. Orson J.	9. Camara A. 11. Kamara J. 98. Kidd M. 27. Mensah E. 23. Oladapo K. (G) 8. Poon-Angeron M. 7. Varela W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Huck T. ⚽,
18', Drack J. 🟨,
43', Botello Faz P. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 2, Washington T. ⚽, Wright O. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Borczak D. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
46', Mohamed M. ↓, Mensah E. ↑,
56', Wootton L. ↓, Caceres E. ↑,
59', Georgallides K. ↓, Kidd M. ↑,
59', Barbosa D. ↓, Poon-Angeron M. ↑,
60', 1 - 2, Tekiela K. ⚽,
72', Kallman B. ↓, Malone B. ↑,
72', Huck T. ↓, Varela W. ↑,
74', Varela W. 🟨,
76', Caceres E. 🟨,
81', Lopez M. 🟨,
83', Gomez A. ↓, Lawrence C. ↑,
84', Washington T. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Owusu S. ⚽, Botello Faz P. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Union Omaha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Union Omaha is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Union Omaha won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Union Omaha won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union Omaha ✔	29	19	4	6	53:31	22	61
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	29	7	10	12	43:53	-10	31

Last Results with these Odds

Union Omaha - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 56.95%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Omaha
USL League One
02.05.26	Union Omaha - Greenville Triumph	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Indy Eleven - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
USL League One
18.04.26	Richmond Kickers - Union Omaha	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
14.04.26	Colorado Rapids - Union Omaha	1:0 ✺
USL League One
11.04.26	Union Omaha - Forward Madison	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLLW
- Portland Hearts of Pine
USL League One
06.05.26	Fort Wayne - Portland Hearts of Pine	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - New York Cosmos	3:1 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Westchester SC - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:2 ✺
USL League One
19.04.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Naples	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - One Knoxville	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
01.10.25	Union Omaha - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:0
15.06.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - Union Omaha	3:1
10.05.25	Union Omaha - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:2

Upcoming Matches