Match Info

Leagues Cup - Round 2

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, OH)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV


	Monterrey		New York Red Bulls

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.2	3.9	Watch
	1.82	3.6	3.3
	1.78	4.05	3.85	Watch
	1.76	4.13	4.13
	1.62	4.29	4.65	Watch
	1.85	3.94	3.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.22)	4.04 ↑ (3.66)	3.93 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monterrey
53%

Draw
23.2%

New York Red Bulls
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

25.6%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

24.6%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monterrey's performance.

New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New York Red Bulls might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monterrey that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New York Red Bulls could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Monterrey - New York Red Bulls Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Monterrey will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Cardenas L. (G) 2. Chavez R. 4. Guzman V. 93. Ramos S. 21. Reyes L. 29. Ocampos L. 30. Rodriguez J. 33. Medina S. 8. Torres O. 10. Canales S. 7. Berterame G.	31. Carlos Coronel (G) 6. Duncan K. 3. Eile N. 42. Hack A. 5. Valencia O. 75. Edelman D. 48. Donkor R. 22. Gjengaar D. 10. Forsberg E. 81. Ngoma S. 16. Hall J.
Substitutes
14. Aguirre E. 3. Arteaga G. 17. Corona J. 19. Cortizo J. 35. Fimbres I. 32. Leone T. 25. Mele S. (G) 15. Moreno H. 192. Moxica J. 183. Perez S. (G) 31. Rodriguez M. 23. Sanchez L.	39. Benedetti N. 7. Bogacz W. 44. Edwards R. 1. Marcucci A. (G) 77. Mehmeti A. 14. Morales M. 12. Nealis D. 15. Nealis S. 26. Parker T. 37. Sofo M. 8. Stroud P. 72. Szewczyk T. (G)
Coaches
Torrent D.	Schwarz S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Hall J. ⚽, Edelman D. (A),
38', 1 - 1, Canales S. ⚽, Berterame G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ngoma S. ↓, Sofo M. ↑,
49', Donkor R. 🟨,
58', Guzman V. 🟨,
61', Ocampos L. ↓, Corona J. ↑,
66', Sofo M. 🟨,
67', Valencia O. ↓, Edwards R. ↑,
67', Gjengaar D. ↓, Benedetti N. ↑,
68', Edelman D. 🟨,
74', Torres O. ↓, Fimbres I. ↑,
74', Guzman V. ↓, Moxica J. ↑,
77', Duncan K. ↓, Nealis D. ↑,
77', Hall J. ↓, Bogacz W. ↑,
86', Berterame G. ↓, Cortizo J. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 3)
1, Canales S. (Pen),
1, Eile N. (Pen),
2, Fimbres I. (Pen),
2, Hack A. (Pen),
3, Corona J. (Pen),
3, Bogacz W. (Pen),
4, Ramos S. (Pen),
4, Edelman D. (Pen),
5, Reyes L. (Pen),

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Monterrey will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Monterrey - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.26%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Monterrey
CONCACAF League Cup
31.07.25	Monterrey - Cincinnati	2:3 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
26.07.25	Monterrey - Atlas	3:1 ✺
18.07.25	Atlético San Luis - Monterrey	0:1 ✺
13.07.25	Pachuca - Monterrey	3:0 ✺
FIFA Club World Cup
01.07.25	Borussia Dortmund - Monterrey	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLL
- New York Red Bulls
CONCACAF League Cup
31.07.25	Chivas Guadalajara - New York Red Bulls	0:1 ✺
MLS
26.07.25	Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls	1:0 ✺
19.07.25	New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami	1:5 ✺
16.07.25	New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution	5:3 ✺
12.07.25	Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLWL

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