The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York Red Bulls 57.5%
Draw 23%
Sporting Kansas City 19.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.2%
23.5%
22.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.7%
25.4%
20.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
0%
14.3%
New York Red Bulls - Sporting Kansas City Predictions
Users Predictions:
New York Red Bulls will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Meara R. (G) 12. Nealis D. 4. Reyes A. 15. Nealis S. (C) 47. Tolkin J. 5. Stroud P. 75. Edelman D. 48. Donkor R. 17. Harper C. 11. Elias Manoel 7. Burke C.
29. Melia T. (G) 11. Shelton K. 5. Rosero D. 4. Voloder R. 14. Leibold T. 17. Davis J. 22. Bassong Z. 7. Russell J. (C) 26. Thommy E. 10. Salloi D. 9. Pulido A.
Substitutes
20. Carballo F. 2. Gjengaar D. 16. Hall J. 22. Ngoma S. 23. O'Connor A. 35. Odle D. (G) 66. Rosborough T. 37. Sofo M. 13. Vanzeir D.
19. Castellanos R. 3. Fontas A. 1. Pulskamp J. (G) 8. Rodriguez M. 20. Vargas A. 54. Walter R.
Coaches
Schwarz S.
Vermes P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Donkor R. 🟨,
45+1', Rosero D. ↓, Castellanos R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Pulido A. ⚽,
58', Burke C. ↓, Vanzeir D. ↑,
58', Stroud P. ↓, Gjengaar D. ↑,
66', Carballo F. 🟨,
74', Harper C. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
81', Elias Manoel ↓, Hall J. ↑,
83', Russell J. ↓, Walter R. ↑,
87', Davis J. 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, Hall J. ⚽,
90+2', Davis J. 🟨,
90+7', Thommy E. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches NY Red Bulls won 3.
NY Red Bulls is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Kansas City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Kansas City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match NY Red Bulls is a favorite.
There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Forsberg E.
(Leg Injury)
Mitchell R.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Kansas City: Agada W.
(Red Card)
Ford K.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Carmona W.
(Thigh Injury)
Ngoma S.
(Knee Injury)
Reyes A.
(Foot Injury)
Stroud P.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Kansas City: Castellanos R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Radoja N.
(Groin Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches NY Red Bulls won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 23-27.
Including matches at home between the teams NY Red Bulls won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-15.
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Meara R. (G) 
Reyes A. 
Donkor R. 
Elias Manoel 
Burke C. 
Voloder R. 
Bassong Z. 
Russell J. (C) 
Salloi D. 
Pulido A. 
Carballo F. 
Gjengaar D. 
Vanzeir D. 
Fontas A. 
Vargas A. 
Walter R. 
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